Day 2 Evening Session Outcomes
MLJ qualifying
Henry Frayne jumped in Group A and finished 14th overall with a 7.93, only 3cm off the top 12 necessary to make the final. I think he didn't look BAD, he just looked HEAVY, much like he has all season.
In my preview, I debated whether to say he'd struggle to make the top15 or top20 and went with top20 but I didn't count on the USA jumpers fucking up big time. So he made the top20 without Coach Bourne being in Tokyo with the jumper leads but apparently, Coach Barber, husband of Kelsey-Lee, was there and used the red hot javelin tip instead to get Frayne back to his season's 7.90 range.
He's 31 so there's no reason why he couldn't get back to decent 8m jumps but whether he will want to keep going is another thing. I did expect him to push up towards 8.50 after his 2018 CWG heroics but sadly injury intervened.
M100 Heats
Rohan Browning ran in the final Heat 7, needing to finish top 3 or 3 fastest to advance. As one of the "pundits" he discussed in his post-race interview (yeah, probably not), I said he's in with a chance to make the top three but would need to treat it as a final and be ready to run a PB. And guess what? He did just that!
A magnificent run of 10.01 (+0.8) much like his beautifully balanced AUS champs final resulted in an adjusted 10.05. That adjusted time is better than his 10.10-10.11 adjusted limit during the AUS domestic season Discussion, showing he's peaking at the right time (thanks, Coach Murphy!).
The raw time is better than Shirvo's 10.03 (-0.1) 4th place in the 1998 CWG final but in adjusted terms, his 10.05 is still behind Shirvo's 10.03 and Patrick Johnson's NR of 9.96 (+1.8) which both adjust to ~10.02.
Now, he needs to back up with an equivalent or better time to make the final. That's much harder but I would not be surprised if he runs the equivalent of a 10.00-10.02 in adjusted terms.
MDT Final
Matt Denny sure knows how to humiliate me with my inadequate prognostications. I said he had an 80% chance of a new PB in the 66s and finish 5th or 6th but he was having none of that. He delved into the other 20% to set a new PB of 67.02 (the only thrower to do so) and finished 4th. Aaaah, that's the kind of wrong that makes me happy and the TFN rankers very, very, very sad.
I was wrong about the top 2 being Stahl and Ceh, with Ceh fucking up big time to finish 5th and letting Sverige get their first OG 1-2 since 1948! Stahl took the win as expected but Petterson stood firm with 67.39 in second and Weisshaidinger with 67.07 taking the bronze. This left Denny only 32cm from silver and 5cm from bronze.
Denny, that bastard, performing better than I expected and making the TFN rankers look biased against the southern hemisphere. Aahh well, who knew being wrong could make you feel so good.
MLJ qualifying
Henry Frayne jumped in Group A and finished 14th overall with a 7.93, only 3cm off the top 12 necessary to make the final. I think he didn't look BAD, he just looked HEAVY, much like he has all season.
In my preview, I debated whether to say he'd struggle to make the top15 or top20 and went with top20 but I didn't count on the USA jumpers fucking up big time. So he made the top20 without Coach Bourne being in Tokyo with the jumper leads but apparently, Coach Barber, husband of Kelsey-Lee, was there and used the red hot javelin tip instead to get Frayne back to his season's 7.90 range.
He's 31 so there's no reason why he couldn't get back to decent 8m jumps but whether he will want to keep going is another thing. I did expect him to push up towards 8.50 after his 2018 CWG heroics but sadly injury intervened.
M100 Heats
Rohan Browning ran in the final Heat 7, needing to finish top 3 or 3 fastest to advance. As one of the "pundits" he discussed in his post-race interview (yeah, probably not), I said he's in with a chance to make the top three but would need to treat it as a final and be ready to run a PB. And guess what? He did just that!
A magnificent run of 10.01 (+0.8) much like his beautifully balanced AUS champs final resulted in an adjusted 10.05. That adjusted time is better than his 10.10-10.11 adjusted limit during the AUS domestic season Discussion, showing he's peaking at the right time (thanks, Coach Murphy!).
The raw time is better than Shirvo's 10.03 (-0.1) 4th place in the 1998 CWG final but in adjusted terms, his 10.05 is still behind Shirvo's 10.03 and Patrick Johnson's NR of 9.96 (+1.8) which both adjust to ~10.02.
Now, he needs to back up with an equivalent or better time to make the final. That's much harder but I would not be surprised if he runs the equivalent of a 10.00-10.02 in adjusted terms.
MDT Final
Matt Denny sure knows how to humiliate me with my inadequate prognostications. I said he had an 80% chance of a new PB in the 66s and finish 5th or 6th but he was having none of that. He delved into the other 20% to set a new PB of 67.02 (the only thrower to do so) and finished 4th. Aaaah, that's the kind of wrong that makes me happy and the TFN rankers very, very, very sad.
I was wrong about the top 2 being Stahl and Ceh, with Ceh fucking up big time to finish 5th and letting Sverige get their first OG 1-2 since 1948! Stahl took the win as expected but Petterson stood firm with 67.39 in second and Weisshaidinger with 67.07 taking the bronze. This left Denny only 32cm from silver and 5cm from bronze.
Denny, that bastard, performing better than I expected and making the TFN rankers look biased against the southern hemisphere. Aahh well, who knew being wrong could make you feel so good.

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