Question about Athing Mu's limits...

[jazzcyclist]

When she gets down to 1:50 then let's talk about 4:06.

I find these what they can do discussions rather pointless...but this is so wild...

3:48 is no joke either.

[Trickstat]

A lot is based in which event or events she chooses to train for!
But if she puts a year or more into serious training for each, I can see the following times--INdoors and/or OUTdoors--


22.5
49.0
1:21.00
1:52.00
2:24.00
3:48.00
4:06.00

Sounds crazy, even to me sometimes, but she has the talent for all of the above!
Given the serious training, being healthy & injury-free!!

Besides the talent, she's the type of runner who wants to run fast in every race!!

If she runs 49 and 3:48, I can see her going quicker than 1:52. Of course, "if" is the biggest 2 letter word in the dictionary.

[Conor Dary]

Yeah, that's a pretty bold statement.

When she gets down to 1:50 then let's talk about 4:06.

I find these what they can do discussions rather pointless...but this is so wild...

[jazzcyclist]

You think she is going to run 4:06 for a mile? I don't see that at all.

Yeah, that's a pretty bold statement.

[ATK]

I would say around 22.5 is too fast as well, but I would bet on that before I even consider a 4:06

[Davidokun]

I could certainly see her running 48.0 / 1:53 by the end of 2024.
47.60 might too far out there, but we've seen some unbelievable 4000H times this year, so anything is possible.

I think we all agree that the "4000H" is one of the most grueling events in T&F. 😏

[jazzcyclist]

no, mean 22.5 is too fast, 4:06 is too slow (particularly the latter)

That's the way I read it but I wanted to make sure understood you correctly that you see her as a future world record breaker in the 1500 and mile?

[Conor Dary]

no, mean 22.5 is too fast, 4:06 is too slow (particularly the latter)

You think she is going to run 4:06 for a mile? I don't see that at all.

[aaronk]

no, mean 22.5 is too fast, 4:06 is too slow (particularly the latter)

The way I calculated these times was by moving up in distance by increments!
But stopping a the mile, as I don't see her becoming a 3K or longer runner!

So--if she can run 22.5, she could split, say 24.0 & 25.0 for 49.0.
If she can run 49.0, then she could hit 400 in a 600 in 53.0, then run 28.0 to finish it!

The 1:21.0 would lead to the 1:52.0 by splitting 1:23.0, the adding a 29.0!

Finally, if she can run 1:52.0, it's not uncommon to see a 10 or 11 second slowdown to the mile, meaning a 4:06.
3:48 is about what she'd run enroute!

But again, all this depends on her training specially for each set of event groupd, and being healthy & injury free for extended periods!
The event groups are---
200-400
600-800-1000
1500-Mile

If she spent a year or two with each group, she'd be just 25 when she finished!
From then on, she'd just be breaking her own records! (PR's).

[gh]

By "bottom end" you mean the 1500 and mile, right?

no, mean 22.5 is too fast, 4:06 is too slow (particularly the latter)

[Atticus]

I could certainly see her running 48.0 / 1:53 by the end of 2024.
47.60 might too far out there, but we've seen some unbelievable 4000H times this year, so anything is possible.

[guru]

I see a 1'53" and a 48"10 within 5 years...

That sounds about right(and maybe sooner for the 1:53)

Man I wish natural Semenya was still around...

[Conor Dary]

By "bottom end" you mean the 1500 and mile, right?

I hope so....4:06...I wouldn't hold my breath.

[jazzcyclist]

methinks you've got her too fast on the bottom end and too slow at the top

By "bottom end" you mean the 1500 and mile, right?

[gh]

A lot is based in which event or events she chooses to train for!
But if she puts a year or more into serious training for each, I can see the following times--INdoors and/or OUTdoors--


22.5
49.0
1:21.00
1:52.00
2:24.00
3:48.00
4:06.00

Sounds crazy, even to me sometimes, but she has the talent for all of the above!
Given the serious training, being healthy & injury-free!!

Besides the talent, she's the type of runner who wants to run fast in every race!!

methinks you've got her too fast on the bottom end and too slow at the top