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Munich 2022 European Athletics Championships Combined Events

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  • Munich 2022 European Athletics Championships Combined Events

    European Athletics published a preview:

    https://www.european-athletics.com/n...-ups-in-munich

  • #2
    As reported by tgs3, decathlon start lists have been published:

    https://forum.trackandfieldnews.com/...66#post1768766

    Comment


    • #3
      Noticed an error in the published high jump progression.

      Group A: 1.84, 1.87, 1.91, 1.94, 1.97, 2.00, 2.03, 2.06
      Group B: 1.72, 1.75, 1.78, 1.81, 1.84, 1.87, 1.90, 1.93

      https://results.mun.mev.atos.net/ECM...----------.pdf

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by Davidokun View Post
        Noticed an error in the published high jump progression.

        Group A: 1.84, 1.87, 1.91, 1.94, 1.97, 2.00, 2.03, 2.06
        Group B: 1.72, 1.75, 1.78, 1.81, 1.84, 1.87, 1.90, 1.93

        https://results.mun.mev.atos.net/ECM...----------.pdf
        Oops! The correct answer is B.
        Last edited by Trickstat; 08-14-2022, 08:50 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by Trickstat View Post

          That can't be right because both must use the same progression with 3cm increments other than one group will start lower than the other.
          Can you spell "TYPO"??
          LOL

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by Davidokun View Post
            As reported by tgs3, decathlon start lists have been published:

            https://forum.trackandfieldnews.com/...66#post1768766
            That's quite a field of 22, i wonder what the over/under is for how many will finish 8000+

            I look forward to David's prediction chart. Im expecting a big PR from eHammer after he "skipped" worlds for euros by just long jumping

            Comment


            • #7
              My two cents for the gentlemen:

              Predicted
              Rank
              Athlete
              Predicted
              Score
              1
              Mayer
              8707
              2
              Kaul
              8364
              3
              Õiglane
              8227
              4
              Tilga
              8180
              5
              Uibo
              8165
              6
              Taam
              8126
              7
              Wiesiołek
              8119
              8
              Ehammer
              8096
              9
              Kazmirek
              8092
              10
              Skotheim
              8055
              11
              Sýkora
              8051
              12
              Nowak
              8035
              13
              Roosen
              7992
              14
              Helcelet
              7967
              15
              Dester
              7956
              16
              Roe
              7938
              17
              Abele
              7931
              18
              Pittomvils
              7873
              19
              Thiery
              7868
              20
              Samuelsson
              7826
              21
              Nilsson
              7803
              Last edited by Davidokun; 08-14-2022, 05:21 PM. Reason: Van der Plaetsen withdrew

              Comment


              • #8
                Disclaimer

                My predictions are based on summing average event performances. For the decathlon, I average over two years: the previous year and the present year. Previous experience has shown that this sample period generally results in more accurate predictions. If there is insufficient data available in this sample period for an athlete, then I include the next previous year, and so on, until I obtain sufficient data.

                The primary purpose of these predictions is to enhance the fan experience by providing some insight into the actual leaders, who may or may not top the leaderboard early in the competition.

                I anticipate—and sincerely hope—that the decathletes will generally outscore these predictions, because they are peaking for this championship event. The difference may be viewed as a shortcoming of my present methodology. Alternatively, it may be viewed as a measure of successful preparation by athletes and coaches.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Predicted 100 performances:

                  Athlete
                  Time
                  (s)
                  Score
                  Ehammer
                  10.61
                  949
                  Mayer
                  10.65
                  940
                  Taam
                  10.76
                  915
                  Thiery
                  10.87
                  890
                  Roosen
                  10.90
                  883
                  Dester
                  10.91
                  881
                  Roe
                  10.91
                  881
                  Wiesiołek
                  10.92
                  878
                  Abele
                  11.06
                  847
                  Õiglane
                  11.06
                  847
                  Kazmirek
                  11.09
                  841
                  Sýkora
                  11.11
                  836
                  Helcelet
                  11.12
                  834
                  Tilga
                  11.13
                  832
                  Skotheim
                  11.19
                  819
                  Samuelsson
                  11.24
                  808
                  Kaul
                  11.27
                  801
                  Uibo
                  11.32
                  791
                  Nowak
                  11.34
                  786
                  Pittomvils
                  11.40
                  774
                  Nilsson
                  11.48
                  757
                  Last edited by Davidokun; 08-14-2022, 05:23 PM. Reason: Van der Plaetsen withdrew

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    David, based on your WC charts your method is pretty accurate as are your event by event updates.... My hope is some of the younger decathletes can over-perform. My prediction is 10 scores over 8000+ (we always get DNF's in big meets, so I say 10 over/10 under, 2 DNF's) My "longshot" bet is that eHammer (gotta love that name, the one event he doesn't do) will over-perform in the throws and sneak into bronze with a big-time decathlon PR. I also think he'll run sub 10.4 in the 100 unless conditions are unfavorable. Anyone who can jump 27-8 can run under 10.4 : ) It will be interesting how "conservative" Mayer goes on the first day....

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Predicted long jump performances:

                      Athlete
                      Distance
                      (m)
                      Score
                      Ehammer
                      7.97
                      1053
                      Dester
                      7.49
                      932
                      Skotheim
                      7.49
                      932
                      Mayer
                      7.37
                      903
                      Tilga
                      7.37
                      903
                      Wiesiołek
                      7.33
                      893
                      Roe
                      7.32
                      891
                      Kazmirek
                      7.28
                      881
                      Õiglane
                      7.26
                      876
                      Uibo
                      7.26
                      876
                      Helcelet
                      7.19
                      859
                      Kaul
                      7.18
                      857
                      Samuelsson
                      7.17
                      854
                      Nowak
                      7.16
                      852
                      Pittomvils
                      7.16
                      852
                      Roosen
                      7.15
                      850
                      Sýkora
                      7.14
                      847
                      Taam
                      7.13
                      845
                      Thiery
                      7.07
                      830
                      Abele
                      7.05
                      826
                      Nilsson
                      6.77
                      760
                      Last edited by Davidokun; 08-14-2022, 05:24 PM. Reason: Van der Plaetsen withdrew

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Predicted shot put performances:

                        Athlete
                        Distance
                        (m)
                        Score
                        Mayer
                        15.38
                        813
                        Tilga
                        15.21
                        803
                        Abele
                        15.19
                        801
                        Nilsson
                        15.16
                        800
                        Sýkora
                        14.84
                        780
                        Helcelet
                        14.82
                        779
                        Õiglane
                        14.79
                        777
                        Wiesiołek
                        14.75
                        774
                        Roe
                        14.70
                        771
                        Pittomvils
                        14.53
                        761
                        Nowak
                        14.50
                        759
                        Uibo
                        14.45
                        756
                        Kaul
                        14.33
                        749
                        Roosen
                        14.29
                        746
                        Ehammer
                        14.28
                        745
                        Samuelsson
                        14.16
                        738
                        Taam
                        14.14
                        737
                        Kazmirek
                        13.94
                        725
                        Dester
                        13.71
                        711
                        Skotheim
                        13.64
                        706
                        Thiery
                        11.64
                        585
                        Last edited by Davidokun; 08-14-2022, 05:26 PM. Reason: Van der Plaetsen withdrew

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Predicted high jump performances:

                          Athlete
                          Height
                          (m)
                          Score
                          Skotheim
                          2.09
                          887
                          Uibo
                          2.09
                          887
                          Nowak
                          2.05
                          850
                          Mayer
                          2.04
                          840
                          Tilga
                          2.04
                          840
                          Õiglane
                          2.02
                          822
                          Ehammer
                          2.00
                          803
                          Kaul
                          2.00
                          803
                          Kazmirek
                          2.00
                          803
                          Samuelsson
                          2.00
                          803
                          Taam
                          1.98
                          785
                          Helcelet
                          1.97
                          776
                          Wiesiołek
                          1.97
                          776
                          Dester
                          1.96
                          767
                          Pittomvils
                          1.96
                          767
                          Nilsson
                          1.93
                          740
                          Roe
                          1.92
                          731
                          Sýkora
                          1.92
                          731
                          Roosen
                          1.88
                          696
                          Thiery
                          1.88
                          696
                          Abele
                          1.82
                          644
                          Last edited by Davidokun; 08-14-2022, 05:28 PM. Reason: Van der Plaetsen withdrew

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Van der Plaetsen has withdrawn.

                            Due to a recent foot injury that hasn't healed enough, I've been forced to withdrawn from the European Championships.

                            It feels surreal to have worked all year, only to miss out on my major goal because of an unfortunate misstep in a pole vault session.
                            https://www.instagram.com/p/ChDB8pbMyOt/
                            Last edited by Davidokun; 08-14-2022, 05:08 PM. Reason: Corrected source URL

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Predicted 400 performances:

                              Athlete
                              Time
                              (s)
                              Score
                              Roosen
                              47.75
                              921
                              Taam
                              47.92
                              913
                              Thiery
                              47.95
                              912
                              Dester
                              48.15
                              902
                              Kazmirek
                              48.25
                              897
                              Ehammer
                              48.37
                              891
                              Kaul
                              48.58
                              881
                              Wiesiołek
                              48.70
                              876
                              Skotheim
                              49.06
                              858
                              Sýkora
                              49.29
                              848
                              Tilga
                              49.70
                              828
                              Mayer
                              49.86
                              821
                              Õiglane
                              49.92
                              818
                              Abele
                              50.20
                              805
                              Pittomvils
                              50.29
                              801
                              Nowak
                              50.31
                              800
                              Samuelsson
                              50.36
                              798
                              Helcelet
                              50.54
                              790
                              Roe
                              50.66
                              784
                              Uibo
                              51.16
                              762
                              Nilsson
                              52.09
                              721

                              Comment

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