Multi-events 2023

[Trickstat]

Davidokun What does green and red mean in your predictions?

I think green means their projected final position is higher than it was after the previous event and red that it was lower (black=no change).

[Davidokun]

Update after heptathlon shot put

Projected Rank	Athlete	Projected Score	Difference from Initial Projection
1	Hall	6941	+32
2	Sułek	6713	-52
3	Vetter	6600	+11
4	Johnson-Thompson	6529	+95
5	Weißenberg	6394	+113
6	Vanninen	6376	+1
7	Brooks	6346	-9
8	Rodríguez	6315	-16
9	Koščak	6307	+99
10	Dokter	6279	-22
11	Schäfer	6214	+14
12	O'Dowda	6180	-6
13	Ligarska	6156	-267
14	Ellenwood	6128	+38
15	Loban	6038	+17
16	Lagger	6022	-2
17	Esselink	6017	+41
18	Kunz	5991	-53
19	Albisser	5973	+78
20	Crase	5970	+10
21	Grimm	5920	-50
22	Schuler	5915	+127
23	Patterson	5856	-290
24	Röthlin	5812	-93
25	Obermaier	5785	-73
26	Posch	5735	+55

[Davidokun]

Davidokun What does green and red mean in your predictions?

Trickstat explained it correctly. As I wrote in the first update:

The colors in the table indicate changes in projected rank, when compared with the previous update.

Green: projected rank is higher
Red: projected rank is lower

For example, initially I projected that Vetter will finish fourth in the heptathlon. After the 100 hurdles, I projected that she will finish third. So in that update, her name is colored green, to indicate a positive change in projected rank.

[Vault-emort]

Hall pretty darn happy with that run! Can she get to 7000?

[Davidokun]

Update after 200

Projected Rank	Athlete	Projected Score	Difference from Initial Projection
1	Hall	7013	+104
2	Sułek	6710	-55
3	Vetter	6623	+34
4	Johnson-Thompson	6554	+120
5	Weißenberg	6411	+130
6	Vanninen	6389	+14
7	Brooks	6385	+30
8	Koščak	6353	+145
9	Rodríguez	6325	-6
10	Dokter	6302	+1
11	Schäfer	6245	+45
12	O'Dowda	6220	+34
13	Ligarska	6182	-241
14	Loban	6104	+83
15	Esselink	6071	+95
16	Kunz	6068	+24
17	Lagger	6061	+37
18	Ellenwood	6055	-35
19	Albisser	6021	+126
20	Crase	5971	+11
21	Schuler	5952	+164
22	Grimm	5936	-34
23	Patterson	5831	-315
24	Röthlin	5818	-87
25	Posch	5805	+125
26	Obermaier	5735	-123

[Vault-emort]

With only the 400m to go on D1, CAN just ahead of AUS in the DEC team comp

[Revenant]

I think Hall is heading for around 7060 and number 2 all time.
KJT doing well, her best since Doha. She hit hurdle 3 and 5, otherwise she would have probably had another 70pts.

[Davidokun]

Update after decathlon high jump

Projected Rank	Athlete	Projected Score	Difference from Initial Projection
1	LePage	8704	+3
2	Warner	8665	-164
3	Tilga	8545	-60
4	Skotheim	8538	-99
5	Victor	8510	-129
6	Eitel	8320	-18
7	Golubovic	8253	-10
8	Kopecký	8245	-10
9	Gletty	8218	-71
10	Roosen	8187	+10
11	Hauttekeete	8167	-11
12	Gaio	8152	-30
13	Moloney	8144	+132
14	Samuelsson	8138	+39
15	Mullings	8106	-41
16	Benkunskas	8102	-111
17	Dubler	8101	-114
17	Thompson	8101	-59
19	Meyer	8056	-1
20	Nowak	8015	-81
21	Williams	8011	-33
22	Pittomvils	7944	-5
23	Wiesiołek	7929	+28
24	Spyridonidis	7878	-44
25	Mechler	7836	+47
26	Hernández	7722	-170
28	Peristéris	7359	+3

[Bruce Kritzler]

12.75, 45-7, 6-3.5, 22.88 for Hall

[Vault-emort]

His early (Aussie) form was a bit of a worry but that 400 by Ash (though not near his PB) shows he is nearly back to his best.

[Vault-emort]

Ash saying in his post-race interview his decathlon goal is to 'no longer compete like 'someone with no brain'. Despite being half a second slower than he would have liked over 400m, still thinks he may be on target for a total score of 8600 (well above DavidO's prediction).

Hall saying she is just hoping for a good night's sleep.

[Powell]

Looking at the way Koščak is improving across the board, she might be heading for something close to 6500 here! No U18 athlete has ever broken 6200 with senior implements, and even with junior ones, the world best is just 6301. With her rate of progress, I wonder whether she might not be a medal threat as soon as Paris next year.

Sułek is 47 points behind her Eugene schedule, but she has improved in LJ since then and I hope her JT will be better as well (hard to tell yet, as she hasn't competed in it this year, but there's surely a lot of space for improvement), so a NR is definitely a possibility. Her HJ was sub-par today, but she said on Twitter she's just a bit heavier at this stage of the season and she would get it sorted out before Budapest. She's finally got it right in SP after struggling with it indoors and she was pretty close to her best in the sprints, so overall, she's in a good place. Historically, her form would always improve significantly as the season progresses, so I can see a really big score for her at the WC. She actually said she was going for 7000 this year, which may be a stretch... But then again, I thought the same thing when she talked about breaking the world indoor record.

[steveu]

12.75, 45-7, 6-3.5, 22.88 for Hall

I've been watching Anna since she was a soph in high school and known her and her folks since she came to Cuba with us at the NSAF. Just when I think I can't be amazed any more by what she's done, she again tops herself. What a first day!!! (two extra exclamation points for aaronk wherever you are)

[steveu]

I think Hall is heading for around 7060 and number 2 all time.
KJT doing well, her best since Doha. She hit hurdle 3 and 5, otherwise she would have probably had another 70pts.

# 2 all-time ... just mind-boggling to think about! As far off as 7291 still is, I can't help think about something JJK and Anna have in common, great 400H chops! Many of you remember JJK's 55.20 from back in the day, I know.

[Davidokun]

Update after 400 (Mechler DNS)

Projected Rank	Athlete	Projected Score	Difference from Initial Projection
1	Warner	8680	-149
2	LePage	8647	-54
3	Skotheim	8569	-68
4	Tilga	8556	-49
5	Victor	8488	-151
6	Eitel	8342	+4
7	Golubovic	8295	+32
8	Gletty	8243	-46
9	Roosen	8230	+53
10	Moloney	8220	+208
11	Kopecký	8204	-51
12	Dubler	8186	-29
13	Hauttekeete	8183	+5
14	Thompson	8126	-34
15	Samuelsson	8109	+10
16	Gaio	8101	-81
17	Mullings	8092	-55
18	Meyer	8079	+22
19	Benkunskas	8056	-157
20	Nowak	8046	-50
21	Williams	8036	-8
22	Wiesiołek	7976	+75
23	Pittomvils	7965	+16
24	Spyridonidis	7878	-44
25	Hernández	7721	-171
26	Peristéris	7308	-48