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**dakota** · 08-15-2009, 11:53 AM

Actually heat five is insane.

And heat three has seven runners with career bests under ten seconds!

**lalala** · 08-15-2009, 11:54 AM

Heats 3 and 5 are ridiculous!

**trackfan22** · 08-15-2009, 11:55 AM

Lol heat three and five could have been the semis...lol

**JROCK** · 08-15-2009, 12:04 PM

:lol: :lol: :lol: Its getting good 8-) 8-)

**dakota** · 08-15-2009, 12:10 PM

Everybody except Bolt has to run that race like a final.

And the thing is some of the 10.0 athletes in the other heats will be looking to PB so who knows which heat the fastest loser comes from.

Heat 1

Chambers and Thompson with Mbandjock and Eriguchi tussling for third spot. Nobody else should have a chance.

Heat 2

This is the weakest heat. Rodgers should be comfortable with Phiri, Lamaitre and Edgar fighting for two spots, but I wouldn't count out any of the eight entirely. It's competitive, but the thing is it's competitive between people who would probably be filling lanes in some of the other heats. So that's not entirely right. But hey, it's a championship.

Heat 3

WTF? Powell and Patton and Burns should qualify I presume, but they'll have to run fast, because Fasuba, Collins, Francis and Pognon have run sub ten in the past. Obviously they're not all in the best shape, but it's risky not taking them seriously as a group. Francis is young and looked good qualifying. Only the Japanese athlete is a no hoper.

Heat 4

If Gay is injured he got lucky here. He can afford to let Frater take the win. Third spot should be between Ndure and Hinds. The other four are decent athletes but would have to benefit from the run of their life or somebody not running well.

Heat 5

Bolt obviously doesn't need to lose sleep about who he races but even he can't take it too easy with Bailey lining up against him. Bailey will have to go fast because he can't assume Martina's 1st round is going to be repeated - Martina does have a sub ten this year and came fourth in Beijing. Which basically leaves Williamson and Edwards crapping themselves. They need to run as fast as conditions will possibly allow unless they get near the finish and Martina isn't there, and even then... basically its four athletes looking for two places behind Bolt. And Callender must be feeling screwed. The other two shouldn't get a look in.

**dakota** · 08-15-2009, 12:12 PM

Any chance they'll redraw these? LOL.

It's entirely possible the tough looking draws will sort themselves out with people not performing well leaving those who are in shape to separate themselves. But I think in a lot of cases there's still going to be four trying to fit into three so I guess we're going to find out whether it's a fast track. Quarter finals have been getting faster and faster in recent years any way. It's frequently the case that people run quicker in quarter finals than they do in semi finals. The very best then peak for the final. Running twice in a day helps the best athletes, but not everybody can do it two days in a row!

Plus it's the perception of what others in your heat MIGHT do. You don't get to know what time they run until afterwards! Not the time to take any risks guessing what form anybody else is in because they might spring a nasty surprise on you.

**110hedgeNYC** · 08-15-2009, 12:25 PM

indeed, heat 5 is wicked brutal for a Quarter.

wow, suddenly, these Quarters look freakin deep across the board.

we may see a few surprises and dissapointments in this second round.

heat 3 tough on PBs, but on SBs not a bad as 5.

Monzavous Rae Edwards in heat 5 in a tough one. yikes. the other 3 Americans should be fine.

**dakota** · 08-15-2009, 12:27 PM

This is a great opportunity for the French junior to reach the semi final stage running out of heat 2! I hope he does it and believe he can.

**110hedgeNYC** · 08-15-2009, 12:31 PM

looking like Britain will be down to 1 after next round and it will be Chambers. He looked very solid in round 1.

gh · 08-15-2009, 02:46 PM

Re: '09 m100 QF (split)

Dakota wrote:
<<This draw is horrible. Some of these heats are very weak and others impossibly strong. >>

Just so everybody understands, the draw "horrible" as it may be, doesn't reflect human error (not official error, at any rate). The second round is done by immutable formula. If one race is stronger than another, it's because the winners of some heats slowed way up, or stud athletes gave up places in the final meters.

My basic observation is that it's about as good a group of people moving along as I can ever recall. The days of shlubs moving into the second round seem to be pretty much gone.

**scottmitchell74** · 08-15-2009, 03:07 PM

Good way of putting it. Happy times for sprint fans!

**kamikaze7** · 08-15-2009, 03:16 PM

Whats with Derrick Atkins and his loss of form ?

**RamGoat** · 08-15-2009, 03:42 PM

He shouldn't have shutdown with Powell.. :lol:

On a side note..

TG fans.. TG fans... you should have heeded my warnings from yesterday!!

Rounds Rounds Rounds.. :wink:

**t_monk** · 08-15-2009, 04:50 PM

Here we go

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'09 m100 QF (split)

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'09 m100 QF (split)

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