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17 year old Usain Bolt could run 19.79 over 200 meters by early summer.
Mid last year when I posted that Bolt could run 19.99 seconds (sub 20.00 seconds) by late summer almost everyone thought that I was crazy. In fact Bolt did not do that. I still maintain that he could have. I expected Bolt to have done that at the world championship even though I did not explicitly say where(anticipating some form of Competition). He did not run at the world championship and hence that is history. Now that he has done it, I am now saying that he could run 19.79 seconds (or sub 19.80 seconds) by early summer.
This prediction comes against the following background:
(1) He could actually do this right now (does he want to? No.). When he ran 19.93 he was not fully pressed. His nearest rival was 12-13 meters behind.
(2) It is early season Bolt has just started some form of speed work about two weeks ago.
(3) Closer to the Olympics he will run with a couple of guys who will try to press him.
and he will also want to get comfortable running these fast times for his body frame and will be doing a lot more speed work.
(4) Bolt is a leader not a follower. He will set the tone for how 200 meters is run going forward.
(5) Bolt shock the world at 15 running 20.6 (not pressed). At 16 running 20.13 (not pressed) and now again 19.93(not pressed and just starting some form of speed work).
But hear this. You might also think that I am crazy in saying that Usain Lightning Bolt could run Sub 44.25 for the 400 meters by early summer (a Different tread).
Mid last year when I posted that Bolt could run 19.99 seconds (sub 20.00 seconds) by late summer almost everyone thought that I was crazy. In fact Bolt did not do that. I still maintain that he could have. I expected Bolt to have done that at the world championship even though I did not explicitly say where(anticipating some form of Competition). He did not run at the world championship and hence that is history. Now that he has done it, I am now saying that he could run 19.79 seconds (or sub 19.80 seconds) by early summer.
This prediction comes against the following background:
(1) He could actually do this right now (does he want to? No.). When he ran 19.93 he was not fully pressed. His nearest rival was 12-13 meters behind.
(2) It is early season Bolt has just started some form of speed work about two weeks ago.
(3) Closer to the Olympics he will run with a couple of guys who will try to press him.
and he will also want to get comfortable running these fast times for his body frame and will be doing a lot more speed work.
(4) Bolt is a leader not a follower. He will set the tone for how 200 meters is run going forward.
(5) Bolt shock the world at 15 running 20.6 (not pressed). At 16 running 20.13 (not pressed) and now again 19.93(not pressed and just starting some form of speed work).
But hear this. You might also think that I am crazy in saying that Usain Lightning Bolt could run Sub 44.25 for the 400 meters by early summer (a Different tread).
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