Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Predicted Winning Marks for US Trials

Collapse

Unconfigured Ad Widget

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Predicted Winning Marks for US Trials

    No, I won't risk predicting WHO will win!!
    This is only my prediction of the winning times, distances, or heights.
    (Even THAT is extremely dangerous!!!)
    For each event, the men's mark comes first, the women's last.
    Also, wind assistance (or hindrance) is NOT taken into account.
    Thus, the predicted 100 times, for example, cound be either wind-aided or not.

    100--9.74, 10.80
    200--19.70, 21.96
    400--44.05, 48.65 (AR)
    800--1:43.39, 1:56.88
    1500--3:32.04, 3:58.77
    5K--12:57.09, 14:50.36
    10K--27:07.19, 30:56.40
    3K SC--8:14.86, 9:23.05
    110-100H--12.88 (AR), 12.42
    400H--47.58, 52.32 (WR)
    HJ--7-8 3/4, 6-8
    LJ--27-10, 23-10 1/2
    TJ--58-8 1/4, 47-3
    PV--19-4 1/4, 16-4 3/4 (AR)
    SP--72-6 1/2, 67-1 (AR)
    DT--223-5, 224-8 (AR)
    JT--276-1, 211-9
    HT--256-5, 247-10 (AR)
    Dec, Hept--8850, 6392
    Walks: 1:21:15 (AR), 1:32.46

  • #2
    Re: Predicted Winning Marks for US Trials

    some seriously optimistic marks all around.
    Cant imagine anyone doing thoes 15, 5k, and 10 times.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Predicted Winning Marks for US Trials

      You won't predict who, but you'll predict a world record, now that's funny :lol:

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Predicted Winning Marks for US Trials

        Originally posted by norunner
        You won't predict who, but you'll predict a world record, now that's funny :lol:
        Originally posted by ATK
        some seriously optimistic marks all around.
        Cant imagine anyone doing thoes 15, 5k, and 10 times.
        Oh, I COULD say it's Lashinda Demus who will run 52.32, but I can only stand ONE line of attack, not two!!

        As for the fast times on the 800-10K range of events, there is much more depth in those events now, men AND women.
        Also, there will still be a few needing to get the "A" standard for the OG, so a fast race would be more likely.
        No one wants to make it a 400 meter race, and fail to get the standard.

        Bottom line, these are just one person's predictions!!
        Just for fun!!

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Predicted Winning Marks for US Trials

          Here's mine (but so much depends on the conditions!)
          I am . . . skeptical . . .of the marks you posted
          (yours first)

          100--9.74, 10.80........9.83, 10.91
          200--19.70, 21.96........19.77, 22.02
          400--44.05, 48.65 (AR)........44.22, 49.10
          800--1:43.39, 1:56.88..........1:43.92, 1:57.44
          1500--3:32.04, 3:58.77...........3:34.01, 4:00.50
          5K--12:57.09, 14:50.36...........13:05, 15:05
          10K--27:07.19, 30:56.40...........27:20, 31:22
          3K SC--8:14.86, 9:23.05...........8:18, 9:28
          110-100H--12.88 (AR), 12.42........12.98, 12.51
          400H--47.58, 52.32 (WR)..........47.82, 53.88
          HJ--7-8 3/4, 6-8............7'8.5, 6'6.75
          LJ--27-10, 23-10 1/2..............27-8, 23-2
          TJ--58-8 1/4, 47-3..............58-1, 46-5
          PV--19-4 1/4, 16-4 3/4 (AR)..............19-2.25, 16-0
          SP--72-6 1/2, 67-1 (AR)..........72-2, 66-1
          DT--223-5, 224-8 (AR)..........218-0, 216-0
          JT--276-1, 211-9.........274', 201'
          HT--256-5, 247-10 (AR)..........254', 242'
          Dec, Hept--8850, 6392.........8800, 6250
          Walks: 1:21:15 (AR), 1:32.46............w/e

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Predicted Winning Marks for US Trials

            On the men's side, I think you all are a bit optimistic for the 800, 1500, and PV. I would love to see you be correct on the 1500 but even with Webb (if he is in the running) chasing an A standard, I would be surprised to see this sort of race. 3:35 wins it.

            5.80 takes the mPV. Only Walker has gone above 5.80 this year and that was indoors.

            1:44.5 takes the m800.

            Hardee and Eaton ease off on the second day and get closer to 8700 than 8800. In London, I am looking for 8900+ from Eaton.

            m400 will be sub 44.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Predicted Winning Marks for US Trials

              AFTER I posted my 2012 Trials predictions, and after seeing what others have predicted, I looked at the results from the 2008 Trials.
              While some of the players are different, and some of the elements were different (You could still chase marks after the Trials!!), the marks from '08 weren't THAT far off from what mine or yours are for '12.
              Here they are, in order of events, M/W, and with no note of wind assistance (M 100, M 110H, W 200, W 100H were wind-assisted in '08.)

              9.68, 10.85
              19.86, 21.82
              44.00, 49.89
              1:44.10, 1:59.82
              3:40.37, 4:05.38
              13:27.47, 15:01.02
              27:41.89, 31:34.81
              8:20.24, 9:27.59
              12.95, 12.29
              48.17, 54.03
              7.6 1/2, 6 5 1/2
              27-5 1/4, 22-9 3/4
              57-2 1/4, 47-2 1/4
              19- 1/4, 16-1 3/4
              72-6 1/4,61-10 1/4
              216-1, 213-11
              249-6, 191-9
              248-8, 232-0
              8832, 6667
              1:27:08, 1:35:11

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Predicted Winning Marks for US Trials

                Logic says that if you're right in the 100s then you're wrong in the 400s. Just becuase of the peculiarities of Hayward Field. If the wind is aiding the 100s to that degree (which it almost certainly will be), then the backstretch wind will kill the 400 runners. There's a reason that so many 400s are "inexplicably slow" there.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Predicted Winning Marks for US Trials

                  Originally posted by aaronk
                  ... I looked at the results from the 2008 Trials.
                  While some of the players are different, and some of the elements were different (You could still chase marks after the Trials!!), the marks from '08 weren't THAT far off from what mine or yours are for '12.
                  You could not chase marks after the 2008 OTs.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Predicted Winning Marks for US Trials

                    Even though people need to chase marks, I still bet they will sit and kick in the 15, 5k and 10k.
                    The times at 08' trials look realistic.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Predicted Winning Marks for US Trials

                      Where could I find the 2008 results?

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: Predicted Winning Marks for US Trials

                        Originally posted by Dave
                        Where could I find the 2008 results?
                        Flash results has results back to 1998.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: Predicted Winning Marks for US Trials

                          I think in the men's pole vault, everything will be decided at 5.72 and that no one will go higher unless all of the stars and wind aligns and Brad jumps higher. I don't see anyone else going higher. The experienced vaulters don't have it in them, and the young ones will be too pumped if they make the team. So my guess is 5.72.

                          Jenn swears she is healthy, but I am skeptical. She turned down good money by skipping the NY meet, which is super close to her. My guess is she'll make the team, but not jump more than 4.70.

                          I hope I am wrong about the heights! I am going to be there and would love to see some big bars!! I know Brad and Jenn both have it in them.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: Predicted Winning Marks for US Trials

                            As optimistic as the first post was, the men's steeple could be under that mark. A 8:10-12 would not surprise me and I think an AR is actually possible, although not likely (8:08.x).

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: Predicted Winning Marks for US Trials

                              Originally posted by aaronk
                              AFTER I posted my 2012 Trials predictions, and after seeing what others have predicted, I looked at the results from the 2008 Trials.
                              While some of the players are different, and some of the elements were different (You could still chase marks after the Trials!!), the marks from '08 weren't THAT far off from what mine or yours are for '12.
                              The marks in the distance races were VERY far off from what you're expecting this time:
                              1:44.10, 1:59.82
                              3:40.37, 4:05.38
                              13:27.47, 15:01.02
                              27:41.89, 31:34.81
                              8:20.24, 9:27.59
                              Było smaszno, a jaszmije smukwijne...

                              Comment

                              Working...
                              X