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  • Sebrle On Way To Götzis Win?

    http://www.meeting-goetzis.at/anavig/details.htm
    (not currently on our list of meets for some reason)

    After 4 events, Pappas is 13 points ahead of his pace from Paris last year. That's the good news. My pick for Oly gold, Sebrle, was 107 points behind Pappas at this point in Paris. Here he leads by 26. My choice for breakout of the year in this event was Karpov but he's 63 points behind his Paris pace.

  • #2
    Re: Sebrle On Way To Götzis Win?

    at end of first day:
    Sebrle 4536 (4423 in Paris)
    Karpov 4526 (4599 in Paris)
    Pappas 4499 (4546 in Paris; 1.3 seconds slower in 400)
    Harris 4400 (compared to 4379 in his PR)

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Sebrle On Way To Götzis Win?

      Pappas could score as much as 41-4200 tomorrow; Seberle 44-4500. Seberle wins. He would supplant Pappas as Oly favorite, but the fat lady ain't sung yet.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Sebrle On Way To Götzis Win?

        >Pappas could score as much as 41-4200 tomorrow; Seberle 44-4500. Seberle wins.
        >He would supplant Pappas as Oly favorite, but the fat lady ain't sung yet.

        Maybe he would move into a co-favorite role. But while Sebrle has performed well at the WC and OG, the gold hasn't come yet and he's had good, even amazing (9026 from Götzis 2001), form in the past at this time of year.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Sebrle On Way To Götzis Win?

          >Seberle wins.
          >He would supplant Pappas as Oly favorite, but the fat lady ain't sung yet.

          The fat lady ain't sung yet in Gotzis either; anything can happen on Day 2.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Sebrle On Way To Götzis Win?

            According to this site:

            http://www.decathlon2000.ee/eng/athletes.php?id=32

            Sebrle scored 4225, 4187 and 4211 on his Day 2's from last year. His best ever is a 4351 en route to his WR. So, likely he will NOT score 4400-4500.

            Pappas is closing the Day 2 gap. Last year he scored 4002, 4093, and 4204 in that order. A big jav and a 4:44 in the 1500 helped out in Paris. He also has mentioned feeling better re. his shoulder and the PV.

            Karpov is significantly weaker in Day due throws. Last year his top Day 2 was 3816. I'd imagine he's improved in the throws some, but don't see him finishing top 2.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Sebrle On Way To Götzis Win?

              if Karpov has learned to PV in the interim, watch out! He is young, fast and has a great upside.

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Sebrle On Way To Götzis Win?

                Pappas has had three superb (for him) results so far to take the lead going into the JT

                13.93
                159'10
                17' 0.75

                leads Seberle 7302-7218

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Sebrle On Way To Götzis Win?

                  >>A big jav and a 4:44 in the 1500 helped out in Paris.

                  Well, if he can duplicate that now he'll be tough to beat.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Sebrle On Way To Götzis Win?

                    >>Pappas has had three superb (for him) results so
                    >>far to take the lead going into the JT
                    >>
                    >>13.93

                    The Gotzis web site is now reporting that Pappas got credited with a 13.90, the fastest among the leaders.
                    Every little bit helps!

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Sebrle On Way To Götzis Win?

                      I'm cringing because Seberle 'could' pick up 100 in the JT and another 200 in the 1500. Pappas's fitness in the 1500 is a (the?) key element in his success in Athens.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: Sebrle On Way To Götzis Win?

                        JT probably finishes Pappas? 71.10 (233-3) to 64.48 (211-6) for Sebrle, putting him 17 points in the lead and being far-far better in the 1500.

                        Pappas 10 points ahead of his 8750 score from Paris after 9 events.

                        (edited to put god's proper measure on the metric)

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: Sebrle On Way To Götzis Win?

                          it must be tough training for deca, hoping extra mileage to knock time off your 1500 doesnt slow down your 100/400 times.. damn muscle fibers..

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: Sebrle On Way To Götzis Win?

                            "(edited to put god's proper measure on the metric)"

                            so the question is: which is more 'godly'?

                            a. one 10-millionth of the distance from the North Pole to the equator (thru Paris, of course), as estimated back in 1795

                            or

                            b. King Henry I's decree that a foot was one-third of the length of his arm (36" - actually that would have simply been half of his armspan).

                            nature vs. man - who shall we go with?

                            it's MAN's arbitrary measurement system, so man (Imperial) wins. Case settled, huh?

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: Sebrle On Way To Götzis Win?

                              <JT probably finishes Pappas? 71.10 (233-3) to 64.48 (211-6) for Sebrle>

                              It's the other way around.
                              "A beautiful theory killed by an ugly fact."
                              by Thomas Henry Huxley

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