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Who is most likely to be a three time Olympic 100m champion in Rio?

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  • Who is most likely to be a three time Olympic 100m champion in Rio?

    Usain Bolt or Shelly Ann Fraser?


    My bet is on Bolt.

  • #2
    I have a feeling neither will win the 100 in Rio in 2016.

    Comment


    • #3
      Even with new stars on the women's side, I still think SAFP is the most likely winner, even if the odds are less than 50%. Bolt is still probably closer to 50% or more, as one of his most likely prime competitors has been so poor this year that it calls in to question his chances of beating him (The Beast).

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      • #4
        Originally posted by DoubleRBar View Post
        I have a feeling neither will win the 100 in Rio in 2016.
        Who do you think will beat them?

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        • #5
          Originally posted by 26mi235 View Post
          Even with new stars on the women's side, I still think SAFP is the most likely winner, even if the odds are less than 50%. Bolt is still probably closer to 50% or more, as one of his most likely prime competitors has been so poor this year that it calls in to question his chances of beating him (The Beast).
          I am surprised you say that. I thought Torrie Bowie was the odds on favorite by most board posters here?

          You don't expect Gatlin to challenge Bolt in Rio? He is the No. 1 sprinter this year.

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          • #6
            Two years is a long time and a lot can happen in those 24 months. That includes injuries, new sprint stars, and various other things. Can't say right now who will win in Rio, but I believe the odds are against both in the 2016 100.

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            • #7
              Hard for both. I think SAFP has a better chance than Bolt. Going to be real tough, especially for SAFP.

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              • #8
                If history has anything to do with it both SAFP and Bolt will be back to winning ways when a major championship is on the line. The only times SAFP has lost a major is when she was injured (2011) and she came 4th. Bolt FS'd in his race in 2011 so it's yet to be seen what he could have done there.

                SAFP showed (with her indoor season performance) that she still can put down a fast time. And truth be told until someone is able to consistently pull out 10.7x's or lower the odds are with her to defend. Women tend to reach their 'peak' later than men when it comes to sprinting and truth be told I don't think she SAFP has peaked yet. I believe part of SAFP's 'lacking' performances in the outdoor season has more to do with her and her coach experimenting. For one they did am indoor season and two they also were changing stuff up to incorporate a lot more 200's in her regiment this year. Both seemed to not have worked out great for her and caused her injury woes. With that being said though she is still likely to get in 10.8x's this year which is a foreboding sign to all. If you aren't ready to run a 10.7low or faster I don't think anyone will beat her in Rio. Thus far no one has shown the propensity to do that in a major championship final to beat her when she is fully fit.

                Bolt now is Bolt. I fear that he peaked back in 2009 but that being said he is still head and shoulders above everyone (and I do mean everyone) at the 100 and 200 when fit. He won't be resting on his laurels next year and especially 2016.

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                • #9
                  With 2 years to go it's impossible to make any sensible predictions but they both seem a pretty good bet to me.

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                  • #10
                    As good as SAFP is, she is not Bolt like in the 100m.

                    Bolt is Bolt. If your going to make any future major champ predictions Bolt and Valerie Adams would be the only 2 good safe bets to make.

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                    • #11
                      My money's on Bolt. The reason is that are many likely challengers to SAFP, Bowie chief among them but she has to prove her durability - but a fit, healthy Bolt is still the WFH.

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                      • #12
                        Originally posted by ATK View Post
                        As good as SAFP is, she is not Bolt like in the 100m.

                        Bolt is Bolt. If your going to make any future major champ predictions Bolt and Valerie Adams would be the only 2 good safe bets to make.
                        I say Adams is the only safe bet.

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                        • #13
                          Originally posted by oldvaulter
                          WFH?
                          So which of these did you have in mind?
                          You're going to kick yourself . . . World's Fastest Human. :-)

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                          • #14
                            Originally posted by t_monk View Post
                            I say Adams is the only safe bet.
                            Your 100% right. But Bolt has proved too many times that he will deliver when needed to.

                            Think about the last 3 majors, in one form or another, there were doubts surrounding him going into the champs. But he always came out on top (sans FS in 2011). I personally don't find Bolt that exciting anymore, but he has more than proved that he should not be bet against.

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                            • #15
                              Let us not forget that Isinbayeva could be a 3 times Olympic champion. So could Valerie Adams and I rate her chances the best, she has no genuine competition to her level.

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