NCAA mHept: Wieland's 6070 CL wins by 2

[gktrack]

Final qualifiers/entries here when available from NCAA:

https://rtspt.com/ncaa/d1indoor15/

Some numbers heading into the iNCAA, ranked by total PR score…
Name (School)… PR, Sum of Seasonal Bests, Sum of PRs
Top 16:
Uibo (Georgia)................. 6044, 6097, 6336
Scantling (Georgia)........... 6036, 6082, 6172
Wieland (Minnesota)......... 5787, 5921, 5952
Filip (Rice)...................... 5785, 5785, 5844
Kregers (Kansas St.)........ 5777, 5807, 5863
Morgan (Buffalo).............. 5772, 5959, 6081
Nilsson (UCLA)................. 5760, 5709, 6040
Ehrhardt (Michigan St.)...... 5741, 5833, 5833
Mahler (Texas)................. 5717, 5717, 5841
Keller (Indiana)................ 5706, 5812, 5850
Dorsey (Kennesaw St.)...... 5644, 5758, 5977
Williams (Georgia)............ 5601, 5722, 5806
Abdullah (Kennesaw St.)..... 5600, 5795, 5846
Green (Colorado St.)......... 5600, 5726, 5756
Bastien (Michigan)............ 5576, 5636, 5704
Anderson (Indiana)........... 5561, 5744, 5744
Alternates:
McPherson (Utah Valley)... 5546, 5609, 5824
Modin (Oregon)............... 5543, 5619, 5711
Williams (Stanford).......... 5539, 5636, 5777

Seasonal Bests: Uibo (5909) and Nilsson (5709), otherwise all other PR scores are from this season.

A few side notes:
- Uibo’s LJ 7.82 PR is from 2013 (when he jumped 7.40+ at least three times). However, since then, I don’t believe he has surpassed 7.40, with his recent indoor 7.39 being his best mark in almost two years. That’s 100+ points of ‘potential’ in his sum of PRs that may be questionable, thus making it even closer (on paper at least) vs. Scantling.

- Morgan has only LJ’ed once this season (in his only multi), a sub-par 6.82, accounting for most of the difference in his sum of PRs vs. sum of SBs. So, take note of his iNCAA LJ…

- Nilsson: Being the oldest guy out there (will be 24 in 2 months), he’s got a few PRs that are 2-3 years old, so his sum of PRs may carry less weight vs. the younger kids.

- Dorsey’s HJ/LJ PRs are from last year when he was a ‘jumper’ and not a ‘multi’ guy – caution when extrapolating any potential in his jumps.

ADD: NCAA Fields Announced:
- Kregers not competing, so McPherson is in.

[gh]

NCAA mHept: first event of the meet

the 60 kicks things off on Friday morning.

Start list:

Event 33 Heptathlon: #1 Men 60 M
Friday 3/13/2015 - 10:00 AM
Two grouped sections.
Lane Name Seed Time Yr School
Section 1 of 2 Finals
1 Luca Wieland SO Minnesota NT _________
2 Maicel Uibo JR Georgia NT _________
3 Stephen Keller JR Indiana NT _________
4 Devon Williams SO Georgia NT _________
5 Marcus Nilsson SR UCLA NT _________
6 Justin Green SR Colorado St. NT _________
7 Dylan Anderson JR Indiana NT _________
8 Tim Ehrhardt SO Michigan State NT _________

Section 2 of 2 Finals
1 Steven Bastien SO Michigan NT _________
2 Scott Filip SO Rice NT _________
3 Andre Dorsey SR Kennesaw State NT _________
4 Mike Morgan JR Buffalo NT _________
5 Wolf Mahler SO Texas NT _________
6 Bilal Abdullah JR Kennesaw State NT _________
7 Garrett Scantling JR Georgia NT _________
8 Michael McPherson SR Utah Valley NT _____

[gktrack]

Strange first event results...
The positive... mini-PRs by Ehrhardt and Williams.
Not so good... Andre Dorsey came in with the fastest time (6.88) but runs the slowest time of all (7.54) - I hope he's ok. Uibo runs the slowest time of his college career (7.43) (add: it appears he's out as he DNS the LJ according to live results, so I hope he's ok as well). Scantling with a sub-par 7.11.

[Atticus]

Uibo runs the slowest time of his college career (7.43) (add: it appears he's out as he DNS the LJ according to live results, so I hope he's ok as well). Scantling with a sub-par 7.11.

:-( . . . . .

[gktrack]

Looks like Nilsson is out also, a DNS in the LJ after a relatively poor 60m.

[gktrack]

Projected stats based on each athlete's PR meet marks, SBs and PRs and the relative difference vs. those totals. It's not what any of us expected after 2 events... Sorted using SB's...

Name (School)............. vs PRScore... vs SumSBs.... vs SumPRs
Morgan (Buffalo)........... 5921 (+149 ). 6066 (+107 ). 6080 (-1 )
Wieland (Minnesota)...... 5965 (+178 ). 5991 (+70 ).. 5991 (+39 )
Scantling (Georgia)....... 5929 (-107 ). 5957 (-125 ). 6047 (-125 )
Abdullah (Kennesaw St.). 5752 (+152 ). 5909 (+114 ). 5918 (+72 )
Ehrhardt (Michigan St.).. 5794 (+53 ).. 5886 (+53 ).. 5886 (+53 )
Williams, D (Georgia).... 5694 (+93 ).. 5768 (+46 ).. 5820 (+14 )
Filip (Rice)................... 5757 (-28 ).. 5757 (-28 ).. 5813 (-31 )
Keller (Indiana)............ 5650 (-56 ).. 5737 (-75 ).. 5775 (-75 )
Mahler (Texas)............. 5693 (-24 ).. 5693 (-24 ).. 5759 (-82 )
Bastien (Michigan)....... 5628 (+52 ).. 5688 (+52 ).. 5715 (+11 )
Anderson (Indiana)...... 5562 (+1 )... 5662 (-82 ).. 5662 (-82 )
Green (Colorado St.).... 5444 (-156 ). 5536 (-190 ). 5563 (-193 )
McPherson (Utah Valley). 5361 (-185 ). 5424 (-185 ). 5569 (-255 )
Dorsey (Kennesaw St.)... 5232 (-412 ). 5346 (-412 ). 5507 (-470 )

[AyZiggy]

Morgan just threw a shot PR by 40cm. He's doing very well.

And as soon as I say that, Scantling hits a 41cm PR.

[gktrack]

After 3...
10-25 point type PRs by most of the field (except for Ehrhardt, who struggled with 2 fouls and was 66 points off his SB/PR). Morgan and Wieland certainly showing they are serious contenders for the title, both with 2 out of 3 PRs today. Projected stats (using SB's) after 3...

Name........ vs PRScore... vs SumSBs.... vs SumPRs
Morgan...... 5945 (+173 ). 6090 (+131 ). 6104 (+23 )
Wieland..... 5973 (+186 ). 5999 (+78 ).. 5999 (+47 )
Scantling... 5955 (-81 ).. 5983 (-99 ).. 6073 (-99 )
Abdullah.... 5726 (+126 ). 5883 (+88 ).. 5892 (+46 )
Ehrhardt.... 5728 (-13 ).. 5820 (-13 ).. 5820 (-13 )
Williams, D. 5701 (+100 ). 5773 (+51 ).. 5825 (+19 )
Keller........ 5662 (-44 ).. 5738 (-74 ).. 5776 (-74 )
Filip.......... 5731 (-54 ).. 5731 (-54 ).. 5787 (-57 )
Bastien..... 5675 (+99 ).. 5690 (+54 ).. 5717 (+13 )
Mahler...... 5681 (-36 ).. 5681 (-36 ).. 5747 (-94 )
Anderson... 5580 (+19 ).. 5679 (-65 ).. 5679 (-65 )
Green....... 5446 (-154 ). 5538 (-188 ). 5565 (-191 )
Dorsey...... 5280 (-364 ). 5365 (-393 ). 5515 (-462 )
McPherson.. 5308 (-238 ). 5363 (-246 ). 5508 (-316 )

[gh]

top 6 after 4 events (sorry it pastes funny)


Pl Athlete
Points
60m
LJ
SP
HJ
60mH
PV
1000m
1 Luca Wieland
Minnesota
3472
7.01

879
[879]
7.61
24-11¾
962
[1841]
14.56
47-9¼
763
[2604]
2.07
6-9½
868
[3472]
2 Mike Morgan
Buffalo
3372
-100
7.12

840
[840]
7.40
24-3½
910
[1750]
13.49
44-3¼
697
[2447]
2.13
6-11¾
925
[3372]
3 Garrett Scantling
Georgia
3368
-104
7.11

844
[844]
6.88
22-7
785
[1629]
15.39
50-6
814
[2443]
2.13
6-11¾
925
[3368]
4 Bilal Abdullah
Kennesaw State
3360
-112
6.90

918
[918]
7.65
25-1¼
972
[1890]
10.98
36-¼
545
[2435]
2.13
6-11¾
925
[3360]
5 Scott Filip
Rice
3231
-241
6.99

886
[886]
7.20
23-7½
862
[1748]
13.51
44-4
698
[2446]
1.98
6-6
785
[3231]
6 Devon Williams
Georgia
3201
-271
7.04

868
[868]
7.36
24-1¾
900
[1768]
13.57
44-6¼
702
[2470]
1.92
6-3½
731
[3201]

[Atticus]

Good analysis. Of course I'm rooting for Scantling, so he needs a sub-8 60H and the PV, as you say, will be the determiner. As long as he gets 5.00, I think he'll win, but there are so many variables in these last three events!

[Atticus]

Now live feed at

http://arkansasrazorbacks.com/game-center/544a7fdbe4b06c7113183cf2/#/

Williams 7.85
Abdullah 7.87
Scantling 8.00
Morgan 8.29

[gktrack]

60H... Making it tighter than anticipated...
Top guys all with solid marks, except for Morgan who struggled a bit and lost some points vs. expectations. A PR by Wieland really keeps him in the game.

After 6: sorted using SB's for the remaining two events...
Name........ vs PRScore... vs SumSBs.... vs SumPRs
Morgan...... 5996 (+224 ). 6062 (+103 ). 6076 (-5 )
Scantling... 6020 (-16 ).. 6035 (-47 ).. 6087 (-85 )
Wieland..... 5987 (+200 ). 5999 (+78 ).. 5999 (+47 )
Abdullah.... 5807 (+207 ). 5864 (+69 ).. 5864 (+18 )
Williams, D. 5792 (+191 ). 5854 (+132 ). 5854 (+48 )
Mahler...... 5707 (-10 ).. 5707 (-10 ).. 5773 (-68 )
Ehrhardt.... 5677 (-64 ).. 5699 (-134 ). 5699 (-134 )
Anderson.... 5586 (+25 ).. 5682 (-62 ).. 5682 (-62 )
Filip....... 5577 (-208 ). 5577 (-208 ). 5577 (-267 )
Bastien..... 5552 (-24 ).. 5567 (-69 ).. 5594 (-110 )
Keller...... 5395 (-311 ). 5471 (-341 ). 5509 (-341 )
Green....... 5296 (-304 ). 5388 (-338 ). 5388 (-368 )
McPherson... 5216 (-330 ). 5239 (-370 ). 5320 (-504 )
Dorsey...... 5092 (-552 ). 5092 (-666 ). 5174 (-803 )

[Atticus]

I almost wish there wasn't a live feed, cuz now I'll be hovering around the monitor all thru the PV and then the 1000. I need some antacids!

[olorin]

60H... Making it tighter than anticipated...
Top guys all with solid marks, except for Morgan who struggled a bit and lost some points vs. expectations. A PR by Wieland really keeps him in the game.

For me the equation is:
If Morgan (PB 5.21) will jump three heights (30 cm) more than scanting (PB 5.10) he will win
If Morgan will jump two heights than it is up to the 1500
If he will jump one height higher or less than is it most likely to be Scantling.
Weiland (PB 4.64) needs to be within 20cm of Scantling in order to win. Doubtful, but not impossible.

[bruce3404]

No obvious race injuries to either Uibo or Nillson. It appears they both came in to test their readiness... A shame since two guys who were ready wound up watching from home. Would either of those guys scored? No, but they would have had a chance to enjoy the experience.