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NCAA wPent: Williams CR 4678 beats Bougard by 112

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  • NCAA wPent: Williams CR 4678 beats Bougard by 112

    Final qualifiers/entries here when available from NCAA:
    rtspt.com/ncaa/d1indoor15/

    Some numbers heading into the iNCAA, ranked by total PR score…
    Name (School)… PR, Sum of Seasonal Bests, Sum of PRs
    Top 16:
    Williams (Georgia).......... 4635, 4671, 4754
    Bougard (Mississippi St)... 4586, 4679, 4764
    Vollmer (Kansas)............ 4404, 4454, 4497
    Jones (Kansas St.).......... 4402, 4620, 4658
    Herauf (Minnesota).......... 4361, 4414, 4416
    Harrell (Florida).............. 4287, 4262, 4381
    Rahn (N. Carolina)........... 4273, 4347, 4450
    Gochenour (Arkansas)...... 4259, 4406, 4435
    Chapman (Georgia).......... 4257, 4318, 4360
    Ellenwood (Wisconsin)...... 4223, 4223, 4255
    Hawkins (Utah St.)........... 4194, 4235, 4374
    Hemann (Texas A&M)....... 4193, 4298, 4478
    McDonald (Mississippi)...... 4168, 4211, 4362
    Brown (Arkansas)............ 4155, 4291, 4291
    Brooks (Arkansas)........... 4155, 4267, 4267
    Stewart (Texas Tech)........ 4152, 4170, 4281
    Alternates:
    Twiss (Kansas St.)............ 4151, 4186, 4421
    Howell (Michigan)............. 4115, 4176, 4279
    Sadeiko (Florida St.)......... 4105, 4125, 4345

    Seasonal Bests: Williams (4609), Bougard (4419), Harrell (4226), Hemann (4179) and Twiss (4151), otherwise all other PR scores are from this season.

    A few side notes:
    - In total, Bougard and Williams couldn’t be any closer on paper. However, Akela Jones first four events are ~125/~225 points better (summing either PRs or SBs) than Williams/Bougard, and could easily be in the lead come the 800. Since Jones has not been ‘forced’ to run a hard 800 yet, this added wild-card makes for a very exciting iNCAA pentathlon. And if that’s not enough, Vollmer is in great form... her recent 4404 is #9 all-time collegiate performer. So four of the top-10 A-T college girls at this meet, a very, very deep field here.

    For these four, here’s their individual event PRs (legal indoor/outdoor marks), and corresponding sum of PR pace:
    Bougard:
    8.03 - 1.81 - 12.51 - 6.43 - 2:09.64
    1123 - 2114 - 2809 - 3794 - 4764
    Williams:
    8.21 - 1.88 - 12.77 - 6.54 - 2:17.31
    1082 - 2162 - 2874 - 3894 - 4754
    Jones:
    8.14 - 1.87 - 14.16 - 6.64 - 2:34.75
    1098 - 2165 - 2970 - 4023 - 4658
    Vollmer:
    8.35 - 1.82 - 13.12 - 6.09 - 2:19.36
    1050 - 2053 - 2788 - 3665 - 4497

    ADD: NCAA Fields Announced:
    - Jones not competing, so teammate Twiss is in.
    - Oh well, hope to see this showdown outdoors. Indoors at the iNCAAs, Akela will be competing in the open 60H, HJ and LJ.
    Last edited by gh; 03-14-2015, 09:38 PM.

  • #2
    The fight for gold – event by event predictions:
    As posted few times before the field in the Pentathlon is the deepest in NCAA history with four athletes above 4,300 and nine above 4,200. However, while the fight for minor places is likely to be intense and may lead to good (and surprising) results the fight for gold is supposed to be between Kendell Williams and Erica Bougard. Last year the epic battle between the two ended in both women breaking the Pentathlon record. This year both women continue to improve and Williams already score more than 4600 points. So in the preview I will focus solely on Williams vs. Bougard leaving the other 14 athletes and the interesting fight for Bronze for GK.

    I will preview each of the five events. For each event I’ll present the PB, the PB a year ago (before the iNCAA 2014) and the results in the iNCAA. Additionally, I added a silly prediction that more than a prediction it is the way I want this competition to develop.

    60h – each 0.1 worth 22 points
    Williams – PB 8.21 (PB a year ago 8.24)
    Bougard – PB 8.03 (PB a year ago 8.31)
    iNCAA 2014: Williams 8.21; Bougard 8.31
    Last year in the iNCAA both ladies broke their PBs, while Williams won by 0.1 second. This year Williams was unable to improve further. She equal her PB once and ran another four times between 8.21-8.25. Bougard on the other hand broke her PB by a large margin to a very respectable 8.03. She also ran another three times below 8.2.
    Will Bougard turn the cards this time and start with an advantage over Williams, or will Williams nail the start and get her sub 8.1?
    Silly prediction:
    Bougard 8.06
    Williams 8.21
    Bougard leads by 34 points.

    HJ – each 3cm worth 39 points
    Williams 1.88 (1.85), Bougard 1.81 (1.81)
    iNCAA 2014: Williams 1.88; Bougard 1.79
    The HJ is probably the most important event in this year Pentathlon. Last year Williams won in the iNCAA by three heights and took an unassailable lead. Since then both women fail to impress in the HJ. Williams typically jumped in the low 1.8x, whereas Bougard was all over the place with marks ranging from 1.81 to 1.66. However, this is money time and hopefully both women will return to their best.
    If Williams win with three heights (or more) then she is likely to retain her title.
    If Bougard will keep the difference to one height then she will be the favourite for the Pentathlon.
    Silly prediction:
    Williams 1.90PB
    Bougard 1.84PB
    Williams leads by 43 points

    SP – each 1m worth 67 points
    Williams 12.77 (12.58), Bougard 12.51 (12.48),
    iNCAA 2014: Williams 12.05 Bougard 12.21
    Williams improve her PB by 19cm, whereas Bougard SB is only 12.21. This and the LJ are the two events that Bougard must improve if she want to maintain a realistic chance to win in her last indoor season.
    Silly Prediction
    Williams 12.55
    Bougard 12.45
    Williams by 50

    LJ - each 10 cm 33 points
    Williams 6.55 (6.34), Bougard 6.43 (6.43)
    iNCAA 2014 Williams 6.32 Bougard 6.29
    Another key event in this year Pentathlon will be the LJ. This winter Williams improve her PB by 20cm that equates to 66 points. In the three competitions she participated this winter she jumped 6.40+. Bougard, on the other hand, jumped in four competitions and her SB is 6.40. If Williams will win the LJ by more than 10cm then Bougard will have a hard time winning.
    Silly prediction
    Williams 6.52
    Bougard 6.47
    Williams by 67

    800 – each 5sec equal 68 points
    Williams 2:20.88i (2:17.31) Bougard 2:09.64, 2:10.80i (2:09.64)
    With each second equal to ~13.5 points, Bougard cannot afford to be more than 100 points behind and hope to win. If the gap will be less than 50 then she is most likely to win. The problem for Bougard (much like KJT in the European) is that no one else in the field has a PB of sub 2:12 so she will need to push the pace on her own. Williams can use her teammate Chapman in order to pace her for a 2:15 pace in the early parts of the race.
    Silly prediction
    Bougard 2:11
    Williams 2:16

    SO....
    Bougard 4783
    Williams 4779
    YES I know I am doing a mini aaronk

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by olorin View Post
      SO....
      Bougard 4783
      Williams 4779
      YES I know I am doing a mini aaronk
      I like it olorin, and a little aaronk is ok... I will post my predictions soon before the start, but my gut (and part heart) tells me Bougard is due, so Bougard by a whisker is okay with me - but a great competition is all I can ask for. And yes, I enjoy following the 14 others in the field - all set up to keep you posted on those. Enjoy.

      ADD: Here's my predictions... and this should be the event of the meet. And, whoever wins, will also set a CR!
      Bougard - 4687
      8.09 - 1.78 - 12.45 - 6.45 - 2:11.50
      Williams - 4679
      8.20 - 1.84 - 12.50 - 6.50 - 2:17.00
      Last edited by gktrack; 03-13-2015, 01:14 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAA wPent: kicking things off on Saturday

        start list

        Start list: Pent Women 60m Hurdles
        Ht/Fl Position Bib Name Affiliation
        1 1 193 Kendell Williams SO Georgia
        1 3 538 Shanice Stewart SR Texas Tech
        1 5 243 Erica Twiss SR Kansas State
        1 7 318 Erica Bougard SR Miss State

        Ht/Fl Position Bib Name Affiliation
        2 1 143 Brittany Harrell SR Florida
        2 3 522 Jena Hemann SR Texas A&M
        2 5 44 Alex Gochenour JR Arkansas
        2 7 355 Xenia Rahn JR North Carolina

        Ht/Fl Position Bib Name Affiliation
        3 1 323 Fabia McDonald SR Mississippi
        3 3 41 Leigha Brown SO Arkansas
        3 5 316 Jess Herauf JR Minnesota
        3 7 622 Georgia Ellenwood FR Wisconsin

        Ht/Fl Position Bib Name Affiliation
        4 1 40 Taliyah Brooks FR Arkansas
        4 3 234 Lindsay Vollmer SR Kansas
        4 5 572 Chari Hawkins SR Utah State
        4 7 187 Quintunya Chapman SR Georgia

        Comment


        • #5
          Bougard didn't look as sharp as I would have hoped yesterday, going 8.16q in the 60H and using all 6 jumps in the LJ, going 'only' 6.15 / 20-2.25. She'll need better marks today if she wants to pull off the 'upset' vs. Williams in the pentathlon.

          Comment


          • #6
            Is there a live streaming for the Pentathlon/Heptathlon?

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by olorin View Post
              Is there a live streaming for the Pentathlon/Heptathlon?
              There was yesterday for the men's. Try here close to start time for both multis, and/or look on left side of T&FN home page - a link may be posted there if/when available.

              http://www.arkansasrazorbacks.com/ga...c7113183cf2/#/

              Add: it's working for me... men's 60H on now
              Last edited by gktrack; 03-14-2015, 03:45 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                Round 1
                Williams 8.10 PB (old PB 8.21)
                Bougard 8.16

                Comment


                • #9
                  Behind:
                  Good results for most of the women that will fight for Bronze:
                  Vollmer 8.29PB (8.35)
                  Rahn 8.39PB (8.44)
                  Gochenour 8.41 =PB
                  Chapman 8.33PB (8.36)
                  Harauf 8.78 (PB 8.67)

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Round 2
                    Big win for Bougard
                    Bougard 1.83PB
                    Williams 1.83
                    Williams leads by 14 points and needs to find at least another 50 in the SP and (specially) in the LJ.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Yes, Bougard really needed that! Game still on!

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by olorin View Post
                        Behind:
                        Good results for most of the women that will fight for Bronze:
                        Vollmer 8.29PB (8.35)
                        Rahn 8.39PB (8.44)
                        Gochenour 8.41 =PB
                        Chapman 8.33PB (8.36)
                        Harauf 8.78 (PB 8.67)
                        Most did quite well in the HJ:
                        Vollmer 1.77 (PB 1.82)
                        Rahn 1.77PB (1.73)
                        Gochenour 1.80PB (1.79)
                        Harauf 1.74 =PB
                        lost the medal:
                        Chapman 1.53 (PB 1.64)

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          You need a new database, olorin, yours is leaking. Xenia Rahn jumped 1.81m two years ago.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Projections After 2... sorted using SBs
                            Name....... vs PRScore.... vs SumSBs..... vs SumPRs
                            Bougard.... 4670 (+84 )... 4674 (-5 ).... 4759 (-5 )
                            Williams... 4596 (-39 )... 4671 (+0 ).... 4715 (-39 )
                            Gochenour.. 4302 (+43 )... 4418 (+12 )... 4447 (+12 )
                            Rahn....... 4345 (+72 )... 4408 (+61 )... 4411 (-39 )
                            Vollmer.... 4406 (+2 ).... 4406 (-48 )... 4449 (-48 )
                            Herauf..... 4373 (+12 )... 4390 (-24 )... 4392 (-24 )
                            Hemann..... 4203 (+10 )... 4251 (-47 )... 4363 (-115 )
                            Brooks..... 4172 (+17 )... 4236 (-31 )... 4236 (-31 )
                            Brown...... 4130 (-25 )... 4232 (-59 )... 4232 (-59 )
                            Chapman.... 4165 (-92 )... 4197 (-121 ).. 4239 (-121 )
                            Twiss...... 4100 (-51 )... 4188 (+2 ).... 4365 (-56 )
                            Hawkins.... 4162 (-32 )... 4170 (-65 )... 4259 (-115 )
                            Ellenwood.. 4168 (-55 )... 4168 (-55 )... 4188 (-67 )
                            Stewart.... 4134 (-18 )... 4134 (-36 )... 4245 (-36 )
                            McDonald... 4062 (-106 ).. 4092 (-119 ).. 4217 (-145 )

                            I wish I could learn how to paste so the columns match up - I miss "courier" font...

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              SP
                              another win for Bougard
                              Bougard 12.46
                              Williams 12.24
                              Bougard leads by 1 point.
                              Williams will need to jump at least 20cm further than Bougard.
                              Last post for me as time to call it a night (or early morning)

                              Comment

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