what are the chances for a male at age 20 with a PR of 48.21 in the 400 meters to run a 44 or even a 45 second 400 meters with 3-4 years?
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48.21 at age 20
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Re: 48.21 at age 20
i think it would be very difficult to drop that kind of time. here is what i found for andrew rock's personal records progression from his freshman year in 2001 (19 years old) up to last week when he ran a 44.66.
2001
Indoor 200- 21.84
Indoor 400- 48.45
Outdoor 200- 21.26
Outdoor 400- 46.52
2002
Indoor 200- 21.45
Indoor 400- 47.47
Outdoor 200- 20.91
Outdoor 400- 46.08
2003
Indoor 200- 21.34
Indoor 400- 46.96
Outdoor 200- 20.84
Outdoor 400- 45.29
2004
Indoor 200- 21.52
Indoor 400- 45.82 (300-meter track) 46.42 (200 track)
Outdoor 200- 20.85
Outdoor 400- 44.66
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Re: 48.21 at age 20
>>what are the chances for a male at age 20 with a PR of 48.21 in the 400 meters to run a 44 or even a 45 second 400 meters with 3-4 years?<<
There was this dude who, at 20 or 21, ran his first flat out 400 in over 50 seconds. In a short time he improved to 48xx. After years of training, he ran 44.26 at sea level and won both the 400 and the 800 (in a WR 1:43.50) at the 1976 the Olympic games...
I think his name was Alberto something or other...
Of course, what sets geniuses apart from mere mortals isn't where they start. It's their learning curve. Ask Jim Ryun. Mediocre 5:30-something mile in his first race. But _astoundingly_ rapid response to training...
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