Winning Marks in Beijing

[Atticus]

Let me go out on a (lunatic fringe) limb and predict the winning marks!
(assuming zero wind conditions)

Men
100 9.68 WL
200 19.55 WL
400 43.84
800 1:42.8
1500 3:30.2
St 8:02
5K 13:04
10K 26:59
110H 12.98
400H 47.88 WL
Mar 2:08
Walks WTFK
4x1 37.20 WL
4x4 2:57.0 WL
HJ 2.37
PV 5.98
LJ 8.40
TJ 18.01
SP 22.10
DT 66.50
HT 82.00
JT 88.50
Dec 8900 WL

Women
100 10.78
200 22.05
400 49.60 WL
800 1:56.2 WL
1500 3:55
St 9:08 WL
5K 14:09 WL
10K 31:10
100H 12.44
400H 53.30 WL
Mar 2:22
4x1 42.20
4x4 3:18.9 WL
RW IGU
HJ 2.00
PV 4.88
LJ 7.02
TJ 15.10 WL
SP 20.50
DT 67.00
HT 77.00
JT 65.50
Hep 6850 WL

[aaronk]

Atticus, your 14:09 for the Women's 5K would be a WL.....AND a World Record!!

[Atticus]

GD and Ayana kin do it, man!

[beebee]

And that 42.20 for the women's 4x100 is way too high

[Sasuke]

I'd think both the discus winning marks will be much higher, expecially women's. Perkovich and Caballero has already thrown 70+ this year and the first one usually peaks at major championships. I think she will break 70m again for the victory. On the men's side, Malachowski seems ready to throw much farther than 66m which is a measure many throwers can get in a good day. I'd say 70m for women and 68m for men.

[ATK]

And that 42.20 for the women's 4x100 is way too high

Probably meant 41.20 which is very realistic for both USA and Jamaica.

[gh]

I'd think both the discus winning marks will be much higher, expecially women's. Perkovich and Caballero has already thrown 70+ this year and the first one usually peaks at major championships. I think she will break 70m again for the victory. On the men's side, Malachowski seems ready to throw much farther than 66m which is a measure many throwers can get in a good day. I'd say 70m for women and 68m for men.

I'm not sure that that's not just a bit optimistic for a windless bowl like the Bird's Nest.

I'd love to be wrong!

[Atticus]

I'm not sure that that's not just a bit optimistic for a windless bowl like the Bird's Nest.

That was my reasoning.
The w4x1 indicates my skepticism of competent passing by Jam or US.

[booond]

GD and Ayana kin do it, man!

But does either need to? 14:30 is a bold time, 14:09 is nuts.

[26mi235]

Beijing in the summer, do you really think that you are going to get fast times in championship distance races? I would not be surprised if every one of the distance marks is slower - the shortest races (SC) have the greatest likelihood, since those are not all that fast and because in the men's race there may be people that want to take it out fast (more likely the Kenyans will want to try to out-kick Jager, which would have worked in the past but did not look like it would work in the fastest race of the year - what would have been 7:57 for Jager except for the slight catch of the last barrier).

[Atticus]

14:09 is nuts.

I invite you to read the parenthetical remark in my opening post!
I think there's just too much pride at stake to let the pace dawdle. I could be . . . loony!

[Atticus]

Beijing in the summer, do you really think that you are going to get fast times in championship distance races?

I didn't think I was being overly 'enthusiastic', but yes, it will depend on how much smog there is.

[Tuariki]

100 - 9.65 - Bolt
200 - 19.35 - Bolt
400 - 43.70 - Van Niekerck
800 - 1:42.00 - Rudisha
1500 - 3:33.5 - Kiprot
3000sc - 7:56.0 - Jager
5000 - 13:10.0 - Farah
10000 - 27:10.0 - Farah
110h - 12.98 - McLeod
400h - 47.65 - Jackson
mar - 2:06.0 - Kiprotich
20000 - 1:17.30 - Zhen Wang
50000 - 3:45.0 - Wei Yu
4x1 - 36.95 - USA
4x4 - 2:57.5 - USA
hj - 2.38 - Duffield
pv - 6:17 - La Villenie
lj - 8.45 - Rutherford
tj - 18.15 - Pichardo
sp - 22.65 - Kovacs
dt - 68.50 - Malachowski
ht - 81.50 - Fajdek
jt - 91.00 - Yego
dec 9150 - Eaton


100 - 10.68 - SAFP
200 - 21.85 - Schippers
400 - 48.95 - Felix
800 - 1:56.95 - Sum
1500 - 3:55.0 - Dibaba
3000sc - 9:09 Ghribi
5000 14:05 - Dibaba
10000 - 30.45.0 - Burka
110h - 12.45 - Rollins
400h - 53.20 - Hejnova
mar - 2:23.0 - Dibaba
20000 - 1:24.20 - Hong Liu
4x1 - 41.10 - Jamaica
4x4 - 3:17.50 - USA
hj - 2:02 - Chicherova
pv - 4.95 - Silva
lj - 7.15 - Okagbare
tj - 15.40 - Ibarguen
sp - 20.50 - Schwanitz
dt - 69.50 - Perkovic
ht - 82.00 - Wlodarczyk
jt - 67.50 - Spotakova
dec - 6910 - Theisen-Eaton

[Atticus]

hj - 2.38 - USA

So AN American will win at 2.38?

[JRM]

200 - 19.35 - Bolt

Bolt's going to shave a second off his best time of the season (to be fair: 0.65s), and reach a level he hasn't hit in 3 years? I guess it's going to be a heck of a WC...