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2018 USATF Combined Events

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  • 26mi235
    replied
    It did not matter really until after the first event because there was no change yet from expected levels and you had it soon thereafter, at which point I realized that JWF was rather weak on other events.

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  • Davidokun
    replied
    Originally posted by donley2 View Post
    Thanks for doing this. Makes the events a lot more enjoyable to those who don't know every single athletes strengths and weaknesses.
    Originally posted by booond View Post
    Thanks again for doing this.
    You're very welcome, gentlemen. Again, I apologize for the slow start in the heptathlon.

    Originally posted by booond View Post
    I have no rooting interests but would like to see Gouchenour get to 6,000.
    Mission accomplished, with three points to spare.

    Leave a comment:


  • Davidokun
    replied
    Originally posted by 26mi235 View Post
    Your forecast bias was zero for the men but the women really out-performed the projections with a lot of very good scores.
    Yes, indeed, I tip my cap to the ladies for exceeding my expectations this weekend.

    Leave a comment:


  • Davidokun
    replied
    For what it's worth, discounting Gustafson (DNF), the average difference between the actual scores and my not-so-crude initial projected scores is 133 points, or 2.3%.

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  • 26mi235
    replied
    Your forecast bias was zero for the men but the women really out-performed the projections with a lot of very good scores.

    Leave a comment:


  • Davidokun
    replied
    Update after 800:

    1
    Bougard
    6347
    +162
    2
    Gochenour
    6003
    +133
    3
    Schwartz
    5933
    +137
    4
    Reaser
    5901
    +155
    5
    Kunz
    5881
    +146
    6
    Zamzow
    5853
    +387
    7
    Brooks-Johnson
    5850
    +189
    8
    Cooks
    5825
    +339

    Leave a comment:


  • booond
    replied
    Thanks again for doing this.

    I have no rooting interests but would like to see Gouchenour get to 6,000.

    Leave a comment:


  • Davidokun
    replied
    Update after javelin throw:

    1
    Bougard
    6302
    +117
    2
    Gochenour
    5998
    +128
    3
    Kunz
    5856
    +121
    4
    Schwartz
    5851
    +55
    5
    Reaser
    5844
    +98
    6
    Zamzow
    5839
    +373
    7
    Brooks-Johnson
    5794
    +133
    8
    Cooks
    5753
    +267

    Leave a comment:


  • Davidokun
    replied
    Update after long jump:

    1
    Bougard
    6220
    +35
    2
    Gochenour
    5939
    +69
    3
    Schwartz
    5884
    +88
    4
    Kunz
    5829
    +94
    5
    Reaser
    5797
    +51
    6
    Brooks-Johnson
    5782
    +121
    7
    Zamzow
    5753
    +287
    8
    Cooks
    5724
    +238

    Leave a comment:


  • Davidokun
    replied
    Update with Brooks-Johnson's 200 result reinstated:

    1
    Bougard
    6285
    +100
    2
    Schwartz
    5923
    +127
    3
    Gochenour
    5870
    0
    4
    Kunz
    5814
    +79
    5
    Brooks-Johnson
    5749
    +88
    6
    Reaser
    5739
    -7
    7
    Holmberg
    5668
    +174
    8
    Dearman
    5666
    +146
    8
    Zamzow
    5666
    +200

    Leave a comment:


  • Davidokun
    replied
    Update after 200:

    1
    Bougard
    6285
    +100
    2
    Schwartz
    5923
    +127
    3
    Gochenour
    5870
    0
    4
    Kunz
    5814
    +79
    5
    Reaser
    5739
    -7
    6
    Holmberg
    5668
    +174
    7
    Dearman
    5666
    +146
    7
    Zamzow
    5666
    +200
    Brooks-Johnson DQ.



    Leave a comment:


  • Davidokun
    replied
    Update after shot put:

    1
    Bougard
    6280
    +95
    2
    Schwartz
    5908
    +112
    3
    Gochenour
    5875
    +5
    4
    Kunz
    5824
    +89
    5
    Brooks-Johnson
    5751
    +90
    6
    Reaser
    5743
    -3
    7
    Larch-Miller
    5715
    +107
    8
    Cooks
    5653
    +167
    Just as obviously, an above-average performance by Gochenour to recover.

    Leave a comment:


  • Davidokun
    replied
    Update after high jump:

    1
    Bougard
    6239
    +54
    2
    Schwartz
    5883
    +87
    3
    Reaser
    5778
    +32
    4
    Gochenour
    5766
    -104
    5
    Kunz
    5737
    +2
    6
    Brooks-Johnson
    5699
    +38
    7
    Larch-Miller
    5648
    +40
    8
    Gustafson
    5617
    +64
    Obviously, a below-average performance by Gochenour.
    Last edited by Davidokun; 06-23-2018, 08:51 PM. Reason: Clarified comment

    Leave a comment:


  • Davidokun
    replied
    Update after 100 hurdles:

    1
    Bougard
    6213
    +28
    2
    Gochenour
    5885
    +15
    3
    Schwartz
    5834
    +38
    4
    Reaser
    5778
    +32
    5
    Kunz
    5749
    +14
    6
    Brooks-Johnson
    5675
    +14
    7
    Larch-Miller
    5589
    -19
    8
    Gustafson
    5580
    +27

    Leave a comment:


  • Davidokun
    replied
    Not-so-crude, and not-at-all timely, projected heptathlon scores:

    1
    Erica Bougard
    6185
    2
    Alex Gochenour
    5870
    3
    Lindsay Schwartz
    5796
    4
    Allison Reaser
    5746
    5
    Annie Kunz
    5735
    6
    Alissa Brooks-Johnson
    5661
    7
    Nikki Larch-Miller
    5608
    8
    Kendall Gustafson
    5553
    "Sorry about that, Chief."

    Leave a comment:

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