2018 USATF Combined Events

[26mi235]

It did not matter really until after the first event because there was no change yet from expected levels and you had it soon thereafter, at which point I realized that JWF was rather weak on other events.

[Davidokun]

Thanks for doing this. Makes the events a lot more enjoyable to those who don't know every single athletes strengths and weaknesses.

Thanks again for doing this.

You're very welcome, gentlemen. Again, I apologize for the slow start in the heptathlon.

I have no rooting interests but would like to see Gouchenour get to 6,000.

Mission accomplished, with three points to spare.

[Davidokun]

Your forecast bias was zero for the men but the women really out-performed the projections with a lot of very good scores.

Yes, indeed, I tip my cap to the ladies for exceeding my expectations this weekend.

[Davidokun]

For what it's worth, discounting Gustafson (DNF), the average difference between the actual scores and my not-so-crude initial projected scores is 133 points, or 2.3%.

[26mi235]

Your forecast bias was zero for the men but the women really out-performed the projections with a lot of very good scores.

[Davidokun]

Update after 800:

1	Bougard	6347	+162
2	Gochenour	6003	+133
3	Schwartz	5933	+137
4	Reaser	5901	+155
5	Kunz	5881	+146
6	Zamzow	5853	+387
7	Brooks-Johnson	5850	+189
8	Cooks	5825	+339

[booond]

Thanks again for doing this.

I have no rooting interests but would like to see Gouchenour get to 6,000.

[Davidokun]

Update after javelin throw:

1	Bougard	6302	+117
2	Gochenour	5998	+128
3	Kunz	5856	+121
4	Schwartz	5851	+55
5	Reaser	5844	+98
6	Zamzow	5839	+373
7	Brooks-Johnson	5794	+133
8	Cooks	5753	+267

[Davidokun]

Update after long jump:

1	Bougard	6220	+35
2	Gochenour	5939	+69
3	Schwartz	5884	+88
4	Kunz	5829	+94
5	Reaser	5797	+51
6	Brooks-Johnson	5782	+121
7	Zamzow	5753	+287
8	Cooks	5724	+238

[Davidokun]

Update with Brooks-Johnson's 200 result reinstated:

1	Bougard	6285	+100
2	Schwartz	5923	+127
3	Gochenour	5870	0
4	Kunz	5814	+79
5	Brooks-Johnson	5749	+88
6	Reaser	5739	-7
7	Holmberg	5668	+174
8	Dearman	5666	+146
8	Zamzow	5666	+200

[Davidokun]

Update after 200:

1	Bougard	6285	+100
2	Schwartz	5923	+127
3	Gochenour	5870	0
4	Kunz	5814	+79
5	Reaser	5739	-7
6	Holmberg	5668	+174
7	Dearman	5666	+146
7	Zamzow	5666	+200

Brooks-Johnson DQ.



[Davidokun]

Update after shot put:

1	Bougard	6280	+95
2	Schwartz	5908	+112
3	Gochenour	5875	+5
4	Kunz	5824	+89
5	Brooks-Johnson	5751	+90
6	Reaser	5743	-3
7	Larch-Miller	5715	+107
8	Cooks	5653	+167

Just as obviously, an above-average performance by Gochenour to recover.

[Davidokun]

Update after high jump:

1	Bougard	6239	+54
2	Schwartz	5883	+87
3	Reaser	5778	+32
4	Gochenour	5766	-104
5	Kunz	5737	+2
6	Brooks-Johnson	5699	+38
7	Larch-Miller	5648	+40
8	Gustafson	5617	+64

Obviously, a below-average performance by Gochenour.

[Davidokun]

Update after 100 hurdles:

1	Bougard	6213	+28
2	Gochenour	5885	+15
3	Schwartz	5834	+38
4	Reaser	5778	+32
5	Kunz	5749	+14
6	Brooks-Johnson	5675	+14
7	Larch-Miller	5589	-19
8	Gustafson	5580	+27

[Davidokun]

Not-so-crude, and not-at-all timely, projected heptathlon scores:

1	Erica Bougard	6185
2	Alex Gochenour	5870
3	Lindsay Schwartz	5796
4	Allison Reaser	5746
5	Annie Kunz	5735
6	Alissa Brooks-Johnson	5661
7	Nikki Larch-Miller	5608
8	Kendall Gustafson	5553

"Sorry about that, Chief."