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TFN Board Electoral Vote Over/Under Contest

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  • TFN Board Electoral Vote Over/Under Contest

    Can a contest be set up to see which poster comes closest to predicting the winning candidate and his electoral college margin?

  • #2
    The chances of Garry allowing this are slim and none, and Slim just left town.

    Comment


    • #3
      Doubtful, but we could probably have a thread going on this board for as long as it lasts.

      FYI, here are the current EV predictions as of today (29 Oct):

      O 364, M 157, Ties 17
      http://www.electoral-vote.com/

      O 311, M 142, Toss-up 85
      http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... ain/?map=5

      O 348, M 190
      http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by dukehjsteve
        The chances of Garry allowing this are slim and none, and Slim just left town.
        Read the rules: this forum is down & dirty, for a few more days... do as you please on it

        (it =Forum, not Board).

        Comment


        • #5
          OK, heck, I'll put down the first dime:

          Obama - 321
          McCain - 217

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by bad hammy
            OK, heck, I'll put down the first dime:

            Obama - 321
            McCain - 217
            Undercut!
            O - 320
            M - 218

            Comment


            • #7
              I like round #'s:

              O 300

              M 238

              Comment


              • #8
                I'm going all-in. 404 to 134. Side bet: Georgia goes Obama.

                Comment


                • #9
                  I say McCain doesn't break 200. I think it would be great if Obama took AZ as well (that may be as likely as GA at this point).

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by gh
                    Originally posted by dukehjsteve
                    The chances of Garry allowing this are slim and none, and Slim just left town.
                    Read the rules: this forum is down & dirty, for a few more days... do as you please on it

                    (it =Forum, not Board).
                    Oh, ok then.

                    MSNBC calls it: 1,026 Our Lord and Savior.... -425 That Old Man We Hate

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by gm
                      MSNBC calls it: 1,026 Our Lord and Savior.... -425 That Old Man We Hate
                      Fox has it as a statistical tie.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Ok, you heard it here first:
                        McCain 272
                        Obama 266

                        :P :P

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          I just read an interesting tidbit: the election could be over shortly after 7pm EST, when the polls close in VA.

                          If Obama takes the expected states on the east coast (New England, Tri-State, MD+DC), he'll get 117 EVs. Add in the other expected states in the mid-west and west (MI, IL, MN, WI, IA, NM, CA, OR, WA, HI), and he has 264.

                          VA would give him 13 EVs. Even if he doesn't win all of ME's EVs, or even NM, it could be a done deal before us west coasters get home from work!

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            350 - Obama, 188 - McCain.
                            And if I thought that all 'Mericans watched the speech that Obama just gave in Cleveland, the numbers would be higher. Very, very powerful. And, yes, of course I realize it's only words, but "that one" is very, very bright.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Most polls had Obama with a 6% lead 52-46 several days ago, but they've already started to close together. I'm hoping that it gets down to 50-48 by tomorrow night, so we'll have a record turn-out, which I think favors Obama . . . a lot. If people think Obama's win is a done deal, that could increase the Pucker Factor a lot! :shock:

                              Comment

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