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  • It talks about the fall not now....when it could be worse....anyways it doesn't matter what you call it it's a mess.

    Hospitals Stock Up on Covid-19 Drugs to Prepare for Second Wave in Fall

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Halfmiler2 View Post

      The Saturday (7/25/20) early afternoon numbers:

      Worldwide: 15,784K(+2%) cases & 641K(+1%) deaths
      The USA : 4,186K (+2%) cases & 146K (+1%) deaths
      New York: 413K (+0%) cases & 32,444 (+0%) deaths
      NYC only: 224K (+0%) cases & 16,284 (+0%) deaths
      New Jersey:179K(+0%) cases & 15,776(+0%) deaths
      Bergen Co.: 20,192(+0%)cases & 2,044 (+0%) deaths

      NJ had 547 new cases and 16 new confirmed deaths.
      NY had 750 new cases and 13 new confirmed deaths.

      NJ has 831 and NY has 646 hospitalizations - less than 10% of the April peaks.

      The Rt for NJ remained at 0.84 - less than the 1.0 replacement rate. The NJ positive testing rate is at 2.36%.
      The Sunday (7/26/20) early afternoon numbers:

      Worldwide: 16,117K (+2%) cases & 645K (+1%) deaths
      The USA : 4,256K (+2%) cases & 147K (+1%) deaths
      New York: 413K (+0%) cases & 32,608 (+0%) deaths
      NYC only: 224K (+0%) cases & 16,286 (+0%) deaths
      New Jersey:179K(+0%)cases & 15,787 (+0%) deaths
      Bergen Co.: 20,226(+0%)cases & 2,044 (+0%) deaths

      NY, NJ, and Bergen include probable and confirmed deaths in their total deaths numbers. NYC includes only confirmed deaths.

      NJ had 512 and NY had 536 new cases.
      NJ had 11 new confirmed deaths.

      NJ has 725 and NY 637 hospitalizations.
      The Rt for NJ remained at 0.84.
      Last edited by Halfmiler2; 07-26-2020, 07:00 PM.

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Master403 View Post

        Not sure what the point is. The U.S. had an earlier stretch of 47 straight days of more than 1,000 deaths each day.
        It's a nice round number for the media.

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Conor Dary View Post
          Meanwhile....

          Coronavirus ravaged Florida, as Ron DeSantis sidelined scientists and followed Trump

          As the virus spread out of control in Florida, decision-making became increasingly shaped by politics and divorced from scientific evidence, according to interviews with 64 current and former state and administration officials, health administrators, epidemiologists, political operatives and hospital executives. The crisis in Florida, these observers say, has revealed the shortcomings of a response built on shifting metrics, influenced by a small group of advisers and tethered at every stage to the Trump administration, which has no unified plan for addressing the national health emergency but has pushed for states to reopen.

          DeSantis relies primarily on the advice of his wife, Casey, a former television reporter and host, and his chief of staff, Shane Strum, a former hospital executive, according to Republican political operatives, including a former member of his administration.

          “It’s a universe of three — Shane and Casey,” said one Republican consultant close to DeSantis’s team who spoke on the condition of anonymity to offer a candid assessment.

          The response — which DeSantis boasted weeks ago was among the best in the nation — has quickly sunk Florida into a deadly morass. Nearly 5,800 Floridians have now died of covid-19, the disease caused by the virus — more deaths than were suffered in combat by Americans in Afghanistan or Iraq after 2001. One out of every 52 Floridians has been infected with the virus. The state’s intensive care units are being pushed to the brink, with some over capacity. Florida’s unemployment system is overwhelmed, and its tourism industry is a shambles.

          https://www.washingtonpost.com/natio....co/7DXIr391sC
          Thank God for Casey

          Comment


          • Way to go Florida. We just passed New York in most cases. Our thanks to DeSantis and crew for all their hard work in opening up without masks and for telling us not to worry as the deaths would just be old people.

            Comment


            • Originally posted by jeremyp View Post
              Way to go Florida. We just passed New York in most cases. Our thanks to DeSantis and crew for all their hard work in opening up without masks and for telling us not to worry as the deaths would just be old people.
              California is still the leader on the course for total positives, as expected. Of course, if they had been doing extensive testing during the early days, NY would be miles ahead of anyone.

              Comment


              • Originally posted by gm View Post

                California is still the leader on the course for total positives, as expected. Of course, if they had been doing extensive testing during the early days, NY would be miles ahead of anyone.
                New York is at 5.6 million tests for a population of 20.5 million. NJ is approaching 2 million tests with a population of 9 million. I do not know how that compares to California and Florida with populations of 40million and 22 million.
                Last edited by Halfmiler2; 07-26-2020, 09:16 PM.

                Comment


                • Originally posted by Halfmiler2 View Post

                  New York is at 5.6 million tests for a population of 20.5 million. NJ is approaching 2 million tests with a population of 9 million. I do not know how that compares to California and Florida with populations of 40million and 22 million.
                  3.3mil tests in Florida

                  Comment


                  • Originally posted by gm View Post

                    California is still the leader on the course for total positives, as expected. Of course, if they had been doing extensive testing during the early days, NY would be miles ahead of anyone.
                    California has about 7 million tests and Florida has about 3.3 Million.

                    Only five states have tests more than 20% of population. In order of %: NY, AK, LA, NM, NJ. Also, DC.

                    Comment


                    • In case folks are interested in good analysis on the COVID-19 situation in Georgia, I found this blog/newsletter a couple weeks ago. I found the blogger (PhD, medical educator, science communicator) to provide clearer information and analysis.

                      https://amberschmidtkephd.substack.c...-schmidtke-phd

                      Presser on her from Mercer University - https://den.mercer.edu/professors-po...covid-19-data/

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                      • A Texas man died from coronavirus after his granddaughter spread infection to him from attending a party

                        https://www.yahoo.com/news/texas-man...010956773.html

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                        • Keep your nose masked. It’s a coronavirus super spreader.

                          Emergency room doctor Frank McGeorge breaks down new research that shows how our noses are coronavirus super spreaders.

                          https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp-vid...mpression=true

                          Comment


                          • I don't recall if anyone has posted this--I just came across it.

                            Headline - Trained dogs were able to sniff out Covid-19 infections with 94% accuracy: study

                            Lede -

                            Dogs have smell receptors up to 10,000 times more powerful and accurate than humans. That allows certain trained dogs to sniff out diseases like cancer, malaria and viral infections.

                            Now, according to German researchers, trained dogs can sniff out coronavirus infections.
                            https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/24/trai...twitter%7Cmain




                            Comment


                            • If this is true then maybe immunity does last much longer.From the NYT.

                              Disappearing. Should You Care?

                              Declining antibody levels do not mean less immunity, experts say. Besides, two widely used tests may detect the wrong antibodies.
                              Why, then, have so many people stricken by the virus discovered that they don’t seem to have antibodies?
                              Blame the tests.
                              Most commercial antibody tests offer crude yes-no answers. The tests are notorious for delivering false positives — results indicating that someone has antibodies when he or she does not.
                              But the volume of coronavirus antibodies drops sharply once the acute illness ends. Now it is increasingly clear that these tests may also produce false-negative results, missing antibodies to the coronavirus that are present at low levels.
                              Moreover, some tests — including those made by Abbott and Roche and offered by Quest Diagnostics and LabCorp — are designed to detect a subtype of antibodies that doesn’t confer immunity and may wane even faster than the kind that can destroy the virus.
                              The most powerful antibodies recognize a piece of the coronavirus’s spike protein, the receptor binding domain, or R.B.D. That is the part of the virus that docks onto human cells. Antibodies that recognize the R.B.D. can neutralize the virus and prevent infection.
                              But the Roche and Abbott tests that are now widely available — and several others authorized by the Food and Drug Administration — instead look for antibodies to a protein called the nucleocapsid, or N, that is bound up with the virus’s genetic material.
                              Some scientists were stunned to hear of this choice.
                              “God, I did not realize that — that’s crazy,” said Angela Rasmussen, a virologist at Columbia University in New York. “It’s kind of puzzling to design a test that’s not looking for what’s thought to be the major antigen.”
                              https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/26/health/coronvirus-antibody-tests.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtyp e=Homepage

                              Comment


                              • Meanwhile....

                                A Vaccine Reality Check

                                So much hope is riding on a breakthrough, but a vaccine is only the beginning of the end.

                                Even if all of this goes well—the earliest candidates are effective, the trials conclude quickly, the technology works—another huge task lies ahead: When vaccines are approved, 300 million doses will not be available all at once, and a system is needed to distribute limited supplies to the public. This is exactly the sort of challenge that the U.S. government has proved unprepared for in this pandemic.

                                https://www.theatlantic.com/health/a...campaign=share

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