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  • Meanwhile....


    In Ultra-Wealthy Greenwich, Teen Parties Lead to Jump in Virus Cases

    Many of those exposed were seniors who had just finished their final year at two elite private schools.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/31/n....co/OiCg8890fV

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Halfmiler2 View Post

      The Thursday (7/30/20) early afternoon numbers:

      Worldwide: 17,039K(+1%)cases & 667K(+1%) deaths
      The USA : 4,534K (+2%) cases & 151K (+1%) deaths
      New York: 414K (+0%) cases & 32,658 (+0%) deaths
      NYC only: 225K (+0%) cases & 16,308 (+0%) deaths
      New Jersey:181K(+0%)cases & 15,809 (+0%) deaths
      Bergen Co.: 20,412(+0%)cases & 2,040(+0%) deaths

      NJ had 261 new cases & 19 new confirmed deaths.
      NY had 777 new cases.

      NJ has 759 and NY has 586 hospitalizations.

      NJ has seen its % of new cases in the 18-29 age group increase from 12% in April to 33% in July.
      The Friday (7/31/20) early afternoon numbers:

      Worldwide: 17,335K(+2%)cases & 674K(+1%) deaths
      The USA : 4,594K(+1%) cases & 152K (+1%) deaths
      New York : 414K (+0%) cases & 32,683 (+0%) deaths
      NYC only: 225K (+0%) cases & 16,308 (+0%) deaths
      New Jersey:182K(+0%)cases & 15,819 (+0%) deaths
      Bergen Co.:20,472 (+0%)cases & 2,040(+0%) deaths

      NY, NJ, and Bergen total deaths include probable and confirmed deaths while NYC includes only confirmed deaths.

      Good and bad news from NJ today:

      NJ new cases rose to 699 and NY stayed at 777.

      There were only 10 new total deaths in NJ and 25 total new deaths in NY.

      The Rt for NJ rose to 1.35 but the positivity % fell to 2.15. NJ Hospitalizations fell to 695 & in NY to 586. For the first time since March, there were no VOVID-19 deaths in hospitals yesterday.
      Last edited by Halfmiler2; 08-01-2020, 01:27 AM.

      Comment


      • NJ Governor Murphy again blamed the NJ uptick (which is small compared to other places) on parties (primarily indoor), and not on the beaches. He did so based on contact tracing. And the bars are still closed in NJ.

        The uptick in cases is also partially blamed on a major tester Quest Diagnostics working its way through a backlog of 15,000 tests.

        Meanwhile, NJ fell behind Georgia into 6th place in total cases and about to fall behind Arizona and Illinois to 8th. NY is falling behind Texas into 4th.
        Last edited by Halfmiler2; 07-31-2020, 08:51 PM.

        Comment


        • Originally posted by 26mi235 View Post

          Again, you are placing all of the emphasis on deaths. However, there is increasing evidence of significant heart damage in a majority of those with COVID-19 (or at least the symptomatic ones, although that is not clear).
          My wife's 16 year old cousin just got released from ER. He has cardiac artery swelling that was causing atrial fibrillation. It was caused by a from a previous bout of COVID-19 he had recovered from but no one knew he had.


          Comment


          • 6/ Report: "This investigation adds to the body of evidence demonstrating that children of all ages are susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection and, contrary to early reports, might play an important role in transmission."

            https://mobile.twitter.com/jaketappe...58311255113728

            Comment


            • meanwhile, in France......

              An outbreak among 18- to 25-year-olds at a seaside resort on the Brittany coast is crystallizing fears that the virus is flaring again in France, on the back of vacationers throwing COVID-19 caution to the summer winds.

              With 72 infections by Wednesday — mostly among that age group — uncovered in a week of furious contact tracing, the cluster on the Quiberon peninsula was thought to have originated with a supermarket summer worker who partied with others at a nightspot.




              https://www.france24.com/en/20200730...aching-caution

              Comment


              • Meanwhile...

                GOP congressman compares impact of coronavirus to football injuries


                Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer (R-Mo.) complained that those concerned about sending children back to school amid the coronavirus pandemic are not also upset about football injuries sustained by high school players.

                “We’re almost in the same neighborhood with the deaths — not taking into account the other severe and lifetime injuries sustained by young men playing football in high school — versus the total deaths that would be anticipated from opening, reopening school,” Luetkemeyer said. “And I don’t see and hear an outcry about that.”

                “So perspective is something we always need to consider,” he added.

                The congressman’s comparison was offered as a statement and not a question, so it did not yield a response from any of the health experts testifying.

                But many people on social media quickly pointed out the key distinction that makes it a false equivalency: Football injuries, while tragic, are not contagious. Children may be largely immune to the most serious health risks of coronavirus, but they can spread it to teachers and family members for whom it could be fatal. More than 149,000 people have died of coronavirus in the United States since February.

                https://www.washingtonpost.com/natio...PDBBTMZ4K6F7PU


                Comment


                • Originally posted by gh View Post
                  meanwhile, in France......

                  An outbreak among 18- to 25-year-olds at a seaside resort on the Brittany coast is crystallizing fears that the virus is flaring again in France, on the back of vacationers throwing COVID-19 caution to the summer winds.

                  With 72 infections by Wednesday — mostly among that age group — uncovered in a week of furious contact tracing, the cluster on the Quiberon peninsula was thought to have originated with a supermarket summer worker who partied with others at a nightspot.




                  https://www.france24.com/en/20200730...aching-caution
                  Britain too is having problems....

                  https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-53609467

                  Comment


                  • As for school openings, we are getting some information from summer camps. Here is a paragraph from a CNN feed of COID-19 news https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/...ntl/index.html

                    A study that showed more than 40% of kids at a Georgia summer camp caught coronavirus is a taste of things to come when schools reopen, an infectious disease specialist said Friday.

                    The report, published by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention earlier Friday, found that at least 44% of campers and counselors at the overnight camp became infected with the virus.
                    the 44% is of all the people there not just those tested, I think that those that were tested it was ~70%. Only the counselors wore masks, not the kids (they had lower % positive).

                    Here is a CDC report on the investigation of the incident. Note that the campers were in camp less than a week and that masks were not required although other safety recommendations were.
                    https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/...cid=mm6931e1_w.

                    This case is a bit of contrast with an outbreak at a Missouri camp that attracted attention. They followed all of a rigorous 31-point plan but still ended up with 82 positive cases (pretty large camp), but they were at one of several camps that the group runs. It appears that, while it did not prevent the outbreak at one camp, it did at at least one or two more and the number of positives were a lot lower. So, preventive measures are important and will be important for schools that open, particularly wearing masks.

                    Comment


                    • Brazil July 31

                      Daily new cases 52,509
                      Total Cases 2,666,298

                      Daily new deaths 1,191
                      Total deaths 92,568
                      Sunlight is said to be the best of disinfectants

                      Comment


                      • meanwhile, in the labs....

                        Fauci Optimistic About COVID-19 Vaccines, Though Immunity Unknowns Complicate Development



                        https://www.scientificamerican.com/a...e-development/

                        Comment


                        • Florida testing sites on the East Coast are to be closed for a few days (5?) until the Hurricane has passed. This will "artificially" flatten the curve of cases but not hospitalizations or deaths.

                          Comment


                          • And from Florida:
                            "We actually like some of the trends that we've been seeing," DeSantis said. "If you look at the emergency department visits for COVID-like illness, those have been declining since early July. If you look at the hospitalization trends for hospital admissions, those have been declining."
                            In another positive sign, the percentage of people who tested positive for the virus was the lowest in two weeks. "We definitely believe that we've seen a peak.NPR

                            Oh yeah? A 30% increase in hospitalizations in the last week. Death tolls of 191, 217, 252, 257, in the last 4 days. Great trends, great peak!

                            Epidemiologists say that number will keep rising following the surge in cases seen over the past six weeks.

                            Jay Wolfson, a public health expert at the University of South Florida, said: "What we're seeing now is the result of the push to open the state. Now we'll have to wait to see if it will level out."NPR
                            Last edited by jeremyp; 08-01-2020, 06:22 PM.

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Halfmiler2 View Post

                              The Friday (7/31/20) early afternoon numbers:

                              Worldwide: 17,335K(+2%)cases & 674K(+1%) deaths
                              The USA : 4,594K(+1%) cases & 152K (+1%) deaths
                              New York : 414K (+0%) cases & 32,683 (+0%) deaths
                              NYC only: 225K (+0%) cases & 16,308 (+0%) deaths
                              New Jersey:182K(+0%)cases & 15,819 (+0%) deaths
                              Bergen Co.:20,472 (+0%)cases & 2,040(+0%) deaths

                              NY, NJ, and Bergen total deaths include probable and confirmed deaths while NYC includes only confirmed deaths.

                              NJ new cases rose to 699 and NY stayed at 777.
                              There were only 10 new total deaths in NJ and 25 total new deaths in NY.

                              The Rt for NJ rose to 1.35 but the positivity % fell to 2.15. NJ Hospitalizations fell to 695 & in NY to 586.
                              The Saturday (8/1/20) early afternoon numbers:

                              Worldwide: 17,595K(+2%) & 679K(+1%) deaths
                              The USA : 4,668K (+2%) & 153K (+1%) deaths
                              New York: 415K (+0%) & 32,697 (+0%) deaths
                              NYC only: 225K (+0%) & 16,309 (+0%) deaths
                              New Jersey:182K(+0%) & 15,380 (+0%) deaths
                              Bergen Co.: 20,494(0%) & 2,040 (+0%) deaths

                              NJ had 369 new cases and 11 new deaths.
                              NY had 753 new cases and 14 new deaths.
                              NY has 576 hospitalizations.

                              The Rt for NJ rise to 1.44.
                              Last edited by Halfmiler2; 08-01-2020, 06:47 PM.

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by jeremyp View Post
                                This will "artificially" flatten the curve of cases
                                Whatever it takes, bro. The back-side could be a B-yotch though.

                                Comment

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