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  • PODCAST - Public Health On Call: Sweden and COVID-19

    Sweden’s approach to controlling the spread of COVID-19 has relied largely on providing guidance and expecting compliance. What’s gone right? What’s gone wrong? Anders Tegnell, Sweden’s chief epidemiologist, talks candidly with Dr. Josh Sharfstein. He rejects the idea that the nation has been complacent, saying the goal has always been to reduce transmission, using mandates as necessary to achieve the goal. He also explains why Sweden has not hospitalized more older adults who contracted COVID-19 in nursing homes, a population that has accounted for a large share of deaths.

    http://johnshopkinssph.libsyn.com/12...est_id=1899134

    Comment



    • Want Schools to Open? Get Serious About Outbreaks

      The spring decision to open inessential businesses came at the expense of fall classrooms.

      You can go to a tattoo parlor in Georgia, but in much of the state you can’t send your children to school at the start of the fall semester. Nine Georgia school districts have announced that they will begin the school year with remote learning. Some 584,000 youngsters, or one-third of Georgia’s public-school students, have to stay home. So will their peers in many states.

      Some states prioritized the opening of bars and tattoo parlors over the need to control Covid-19 in time for the start of the school year. In many places, local officials aren’t opening up schools because transmission is so intense. The country’s political leadership at all levels failed to carry out plans to manage the epidemic that would allow society to preserve what is most important.

      Professional sports teams have far more access to testing than public schools do. What does that say about what’s most important to American society? Our children’s safety and development should be the highest priority, and public policy ought to support these values.

      https://www.wsj.com/articles/want-sc....co/GPJHBqbzGc


      Comment


      • USA ex-NY

        Daily average new cases for
        Week ending
        4/05 19452
        4/12 22460
        4/19 21278
        4/26 24480
        5/03 24578
        5/10 22668
        5/17 20896
        5/24 21147
        5/31 20356
        6/07 20959
        6/14 21335
        6/21 26840
        6/28 38898
        7/05 50128
        7/12 59719
        7/19 67747
        7/26 67088
        8/02 62016
        Last edited by Master403; 08-03-2020, 08:00 AM.
        Sunlight is said to be the best of disinfectants

        Comment


        • Brazil August 2

          Daily new cases 24,801
          Total Cases 2,733,677

          Daily new deaths 514
          Total deaths 94,130
          Sunlight is said to be the best of disinfectants

          Comment


          • Meanwhile....in The Atlantic...free to read.

            How the Pandemic Defeated America

            A virus has brought the world’s most powerful country to its knees.

            https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine...ailure/614191/

            Comment


            • Originally posted by Halfmiler2 View Post

              The Sunday (8/2/20) early afternoon numbers:

              Worldwide: 17,860K(+2%)cases & 685K(+1%) deaths
              The USA : 4,705K (+1%) cases & 154K (+0%) deaths
              New York : 416K (+0%) cases & 32,703 (+0%) deaths
              NYC only: 225K (+0%) cases & 16,310 (+0%) deaths
              New Jersey:182K(+0%)cases & 15,836 (+0%) deaths
              Bergen Co.: 20,521(+0%)cases & 2,040(+0%) deaths

              NY, NJ, and Bergen total deaths include probable and confirmed deaths. NYC only includes confirmed deaths.

              NJ had 331 new cases and only 6 new deaths.
              NY had 531 new cases and also only 6 new deaths.

              NJ fell to 7th in total cases, falling behind Illinois.

              The Rt for NJ edged up again to 1.49.
              The Monday (8/3/20) early afternoon numbers:

              Worldwide: 17,965K(+1%)cases & 689K(+1%) deaths
              The USA : 4,749K (+1%) cases & 157K(+0%) deaths
              New York : 417K (+0%) cases & 32,710 (+0%) deaths
              NYC only : 226K (+0%) cases & 16,309 (+0%) deaths
              New Jersey:183K(+0%) cases & 15,846 (+0%) deaths
              Bergen Co.: 20,552 (+0) cases & 2,041 (+0%) deaths

              NYC confirmed deaths was revised slightly downward.

              NJ had 264 new cases and 10 new confirmed deaths.
              NY had 545 new cases and 27 new confirmed deaths.

              The Rt for NJ finally peaked yesterday at 1.49 and dropped today to 1.48. It was 0.87 a month ago. The daily positivity dropped under 2.0.

              NJ has 738 and NY has 536 hospitalizations.

              Comment


              • Very depressing article.

                Comment


                • NJ Governor Murphy backed off one item of prior re-opening today: the maximum indoor gathering allowed is reduced from 100 to 25 persons.

                  There are a few exceptions that stay at 100: Weddings, Funerals, religious, and political gatherings.

                  The change is aimed at recent parties that have caused an increase in COVID-19 cases.

                  The Governor also announced that all students in school buildings this fall will be required to wear masks.

                  Comment


                  • meanwhile, on the research front....

                    WHO Chief Warns There May Never Be A ‘Silver Bullet’ For Coronavirus


                    https://www.huffpost.com/entry/who-c...b68fbfc88625ba

                    Comment



                    • Getting a coronavirus vaccine in record time is hard. Distributing it to tens of millions may be equally daunting.

                      The administration has shared limited, often confusing information about its strategy, making it difficult for overwhelmed state and local officials to plan.


                      But Offit said that, based on the administration’s inability to develop a national testing strategy, secure adequate supplies of personal protective equipment and deliver a consistent message about wearing face masks, the question he wanted to ask Ostrowski but didn’t have the chance was basic: “Given that the administration efforts have largely been failures, what makes you think this will work?”

                      Other experts expressed similar worries.

                      “This is a slow-motion train wreck,” said one state official who has been involved in planning efforts and spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive matter. The official pointed in particular to the administration’s botched rollout of remdesivir, an antiviral medication that is one of the only approved treatments for covid-19 patients. “There’s certainly a lot of concern, and not being able to plan creates a significant amount of confusion,” the official said.

                      https://www.washingtonpost.com/healt...ge%2Fstory-ans

                      Comment


                      • Brazil August 3

                        Daily new cases 17,988
                        Total Cases 2,751,665

                        Daily new deaths 572
                        Total deaths 94,702
                        Sunlight is said to be the best of disinfectants

                        Comment


                        • Coronavirus deaths are rising in 29 states, including Texas, Florida, California and Georgia. Nationally, about 1,200 are dying a day over the last week, down from the peak of about 2,200 in April but up from a low of 481 just a month ago.

                          https://mobile.twitter.com/peterbake...03824704856067

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Halfmiler2 View Post

                            The Monday (8/3/20) early afternoon numbers:

                            Worldwide: 17,965K(+1%)cases & 689K(+1%) deaths
                            The USA : 4,749K (+1%) cases & 157K(+0%) deaths
                            New York : 417K (+0%) cases & 32,710 (+0%) deaths
                            NYC only : 226K (+0%) cases & 16,309 (+0%) deaths
                            New Jersey:183K(+0%) cases & 15,846 (+0%) deaths
                            Bergen Co.: 20,552 (+0) cases & 2,041 (+0%) deaths

                            NYC confirmed deaths was revised slightly downward.

                            NJ had 264 new cases and 10 new confirmed deaths.
                            NY had 545 new cases and 27 new confirmed deaths.

                            The Rt for NJ finally peaked yesterday at 1.49 and dropped today to 1.48. It was 0.87 a month ago. The daily positivity dropped under 2.0.

                            NJ has 738 and NY has 536 hospitalizations.
                            The Tuesday (8/4/20) early afternoon numbers:

                            Worldwide: 18,196K (+1%)cases & 692K(+0%) deaths
                            The USA : 4,795 (+1%) cases & 158K (+0%) deaths
                            New York : 418K (+0%) cases & 32,719 (+0%) deaths
                            NYC only: 226K (+0%) cases & 16,309 (+0%) deaths
                            New Jersey: 183K(+0%)cases & 15,847 (+0%) deaths
                            Bergen Co.: 20,609(+0%) cases & 2,041 (+0%) deaths

                            NY, NJ, and Bergen total deaths include probable and confirmed deaths while NYC includes only confirmed deaths.

                            NJ had 416 new cases and 11 new confirmed deaths -several days of very low death numbers.

                            NY had 746 new cases & only 5 new confirmed deaths.
                            NYC had 316 new cases & no new confirmed deaths.

                            Some good news: the Rt for NJ dropped again from 1.48 to 1.41. Still over 1.0 but in the right direction.
                            Last edited by Halfmiler2; 08-05-2020, 02:25 PM.

                            Comment


                            • The big news in Bergen County is that there was a huge party over the weekend at a mansion that spilled indoors from outside and with social distancing and use of masks often honored in the breach. But the mayor knew about it and the police just kept it orderly instead of shut it down or requiring all rules to be followed.

                              Alpine is probably the highest-income town (per capita) in Bergen with a population of about 2K. But it is a Democratic town literally across the Hudson River from NY. It has many entertainers and athletes residents including Eddie Murphy and C.C. Sabathia. There are some Republican homeowners but they are often snowbirds who claim residency and vote at their Florida mansions.

                              When asked about it, the Governor said the matter would be investigated, but given that the mayor and homeowners are both public Democrats, it will be interesting to see if anything happens.

                              Comment


                              • meanwhile, the price of your next fur coat may have just gone up.....

                                A million mink culled in Netherlands and Spain amid Covid-19 fur farming havoc


                                https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...virus-outbreak


                                Comment

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