the no-nonsense, nothing-but-the-facts-m'am C19 thread

[1.609]

Another example of the Pareto Principle.

An extreme example of it. More like a game of Chinese Whispers.

[Halfmiler2]

I beg to differ.

[Conor Dary]

Who cares how many China reports. It is irrelevant at this point.

[Tuariki]

One more than China has reported.

True, but we report all of ours

[Halfmiler2]

One more than China has reported.

[TN1965]

The first covid death in New Zealand since February.

COVID-19: Current cases | Ministry of Health NZ

[bambam1729]

Pretty good article on what doctors are dealing with:

https://chicago.suntimes.com/2021/10...er-coronavirus

[scottmitchell74]

https://medicalxpress.com/news/2021-...lockdowns.html

Unintended consequences, a theme that will play itself out over the next decade(s).

[jeremyp]

I think I have been seeing 7 day daily average US deaths dropping, but still up around 1,500- 1,800.

Yeah I have 2000 ave for month, and last 3 weeks: 16k, 19k,21k. Cases dropping but deaths yet to wane. Usual 2-4 week waiting period.

[Tuariki]

New Zealand officials, in light of the inevitable, changing the goalposts. How's that going down locally, Tuariki?

While many people are getting ever more concerned, the great majority of the population support the way the Government has handled the pandemic.

Auckland has been in a high level lockdown for nearly 2 months and is struggling to contain the current Delta outbreak from exploding. We have averaged just over 20 daily community cases the past week or so.

The Government goal is to reach a 90% vaccination level so we can stsrt opening up to thecrest of the world. But also by keeping our infection rstes low. Our death rate is 5 per million.

Currently over 80% have been vaccinated - 51% fully caccinated.
Screenshot_20211005_131508.jpg

[Halfmiler2]

NY and NJ often give 7-day averages that they compute and I use. For the Global and The USA, I just divide the change in their numbers by seven.

However, sometimes they make adjustments in their numbers that may distort the 7-day averages. But the numbers they give are the numbers they give.

The USA averages seemed low to me too.

[wamego relays champ]

Weekly Update:
The Monday (10/4/21) afternoon numbers:

7-Day Daily Averages:
The USA: 70K cases & 760 deaths

I think I have been seeing 7 day daily average US deaths dropping, but still up around 1,500- 1,800.

[Halfmiler2]

Weekly Update:
The Monday (9/27/21) afternoon numbers:

Cumulative Numbers:
Global: 231.808 million cases & 4,745K deaths
The USA: 43.425 million cases & 700.8K deaths
NY State: 2,394K cases & 44,450 deaths
NJ State: 998K cases & 24,559 deaths
Bergen: 99,876 cases & 2,647 deaths

NJ & NY Detail:
The Rt for NJ fell to 1.01.
NJ has 4.6% & NY has 2.8% for positivity rates.
NJ has 1,047 & NY has 2,336 hospitalizations.
NJ has 27,346 deaths including probables.
NY has 56,462 deaths including probables.

7-Day Daily Averages:
Global: 500K cases & 8K deaths
The USA: 127K cases & 1.8K deaths
NY State: 4,982 cases & 36 deaths
NJ State: 1,630 cases & 18.6 deaths
Bergen: 167 cases & 3.4 deaths

Weekly Update:
The Monday (10/4/21) afternoon numbers:

Cumulative COVID Numbers:
Global: 234.244 million cases & 4,789K deaths
The USA: 43.911 million cases & 706.1K deaths
NY State: 2.424 million cases & 44,665 deaths
NJ State: 1.008 million cases & 24,691 deaths
Bergen: 100,751 cases & 2,656 deaths

Global numbers exclude China which has reported no deaths in over a year. NY, NJ, and Bergen numbers are confirmed only and exclude probables.

NJ & NY Details:
The Rt for NJ fell to 0.91.
NJ has 1,074 & NY has 2,208 hospitalizations.
NJ has 3.68% & NY has 2.4% positivity rates.
NJ has 27,488 & NY has 56,785 deaths including probables.

7-Day Daily Averages:
Global: 350K cases & 6K deaths
The USA: 70K cases & 760 deaths
NY State: 4,480 cases & 17 deaths
NJ State: 1,606 cases & 19 deaths
Bergen: 125 cases & 1.3 deaths

[bad hammy]

New Zealand officials, in light of the inevitable, changing the goalposts. How's that going down locally, Tuariki?

Battling Delta, New Zealand Abandons Its Zero-Covid Ambitions

The country is changing course seven weeks into a lockdown that has failed to end the outbreak and tested the patience of many residents.

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/04/w...ovid-zero.html

[bambam1729]

According to the New York Times of Sept. 30th, only 12 people are responsible for 65% of all anti-vaccine messaging on social media.

Another example of the Pareto Principle.