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  • 1.609
    replied
    Originally posted by bambam1729 View Post

    Another example of the Pareto Principle.
    An extreme example of it. More like a game of Chinese Whispers.

    Leave a comment:


  • Halfmiler2
    replied
    I beg to differ.

    Leave a comment:


  • Conor Dary
    replied
    Who cares how many China reports. It is irrelevant at this point.

    Leave a comment:


  • Tuariki
    replied
    Originally posted by Halfmiler2 View Post
    One more than China has reported.
    True, but we report all of ours

    Leave a comment:


  • Halfmiler2
    replied
    One more than China has reported.

    Leave a comment:


  • TN1965
    replied
    The first covid death in New Zealand since February.

    COVID-19: Current cases | Ministry of Health NZ

    Leave a comment:


  • bambam1729
    replied
    Pretty good article on what doctors are dealing with:

    https://chicago.suntimes.com/2021/10...er-coronavirus

    Leave a comment:


  • scottmitchell74
    replied
    https://medicalxpress.com/news/2021-...lockdowns.html

    Unintended consequences, a theme that will play itself out over the next decade(s).

    Leave a comment:


  • jeremyp
    replied
    Originally posted by wamego relays champ View Post

    I think I have been seeing 7 day daily average US deaths dropping, but still up around 1,500- 1,800.
    Yeah I have 2000 ave for month, and last 3 weeks: 16k, 19k,21k. Cases dropping but deaths yet to wane. Usual 2-4 week waiting period.

    Leave a comment:


  • Tuariki
    replied
    Originally posted by bad hammy View Post
    New Zealand officials, in light of the inevitable, changing the goalposts. How's that going down locally, Tuariki?
    While many people are getting ever more concerned, the great majority of the population support the way the Government has handled the pandemic.

    Auckland has been in a high level lockdown for nearly 2 months and is struggling to contain the current Delta outbreak from exploding. We have averaged just over 20 daily community cases the past week or so.

    The Government goal is to reach a 90% vaccination level so we can stsrt opening up to thecrest of the world. But also by keeping our infection rstes low. Our death rate is 5 per million.

    Currently over 80% have been vaccinated - 51% fully caccinated.
    Screenshot_20211005_131508.jpg

    Leave a comment:


  • Halfmiler2
    replied
    NY and NJ often give 7-day averages that they compute and I use. For the Global and The USA, I just divide the change in their numbers by seven.

    However, sometimes they make adjustments in their numbers that may distort the 7-day averages. But the numbers they give are the numbers they give.

    The USA averages seemed low to me too.

    Leave a comment:


  • wamego relays champ
    replied
    Originally posted by Halfmiler2 View Post

    Weekly Update:
    The Monday (10/4/21) afternoon numbers:

    7-Day Daily Averages:
    The USA: 70K cases & 760 deaths
    I think I have been seeing 7 day daily average US deaths dropping, but still up around 1,500- 1,800.

    Leave a comment:


  • Halfmiler2
    replied
    Originally posted by Halfmiler2 View Post

    Weekly Update:
    The Monday (9/27/21) afternoon numbers:

    Cumulative Numbers:
    Global: 231.808 million cases & 4,745K deaths
    The USA: 43.425 million cases & 700.8K deaths
    NY State: 2,394K cases & 44,450 deaths
    NJ State: 998K cases & 24,559 deaths
    Bergen: 99,876 cases & 2,647 deaths

    NJ & NY Detail:
    The Rt for NJ fell to 1.01.
    NJ has 4.6% & NY has 2.8% for positivity rates.
    NJ has 1,047 & NY has 2,336 hospitalizations.
    NJ has 27,346 deaths including probables.
    NY has 56,462 deaths including probables.

    7-Day Daily Averages:
    Global: 500K cases & 8K deaths
    The USA: 127K cases & 1.8K deaths
    NY State: 4,982 cases & 36 deaths
    NJ State: 1,630 cases & 18.6 deaths
    Bergen: 167 cases & 3.4 deaths
    Weekly Update:
    The Monday (10/4/21) afternoon numbers:

    Cumulative COVID Numbers:
    Global: 234.244 million cases & 4,789K deaths
    The USA: 43.911 million cases & 706.1K deaths
    NY State: 2.424 million cases & 44,665 deaths
    NJ State: 1.008 million cases & 24,691 deaths
    Bergen: 100,751 cases & 2,656 deaths

    Global numbers exclude China which has reported no deaths in over a year. NY, NJ, and Bergen numbers are confirmed only and exclude probables.

    NJ & NY Details:
    The Rt for NJ fell to 0.91.
    NJ has 1,074 & NY has 2,208 hospitalizations.
    NJ has 3.68% & NY has 2.4% positivity rates.
    NJ has 27,488 & NY has 56,785 deaths including probables.

    7-Day Daily Averages:
    Global: 350K cases & 6K deaths
    The USA: 70K cases & 760 deaths
    NY State: 4,480 cases & 17 deaths
    NJ State: 1,606 cases & 19 deaths
    Bergen: 125 cases & 1.3 deaths
    Last edited by Halfmiler2; 10-05-2021, 03:34 AM.

    Leave a comment:


  • bad hammy
    replied
    New Zealand officials, in light of the inevitable, changing the goalposts. How's that going down locally, Tuariki?


    Battling Delta, New Zealand Abandons Its Zero-Covid Ambitions

    The country is changing course seven weeks into a lockdown that has failed to end the outbreak and tested the patience of many residents.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/04/w...ovid-zero.html

    Leave a comment:


  • bambam1729
    replied
    Originally posted by Django View Post
    According to the New York Times of Sept. 30th, only 12 people are responsible for 65% of all anti-vaccine messaging on social media.
    Another example of the Pareto Principle.

    Leave a comment:

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