the no-nonsense, nothing-but-the-facts-m'am C19 thread

[Atticus]

Wellcome to Simulation Theory!

Just saw the latest Matrix movie last night.
I can assure everyone that the idea that we live in a simulated reality is patently absurd . . . or is that what the Programmers want us to believe?!

The movie was 'fun', but so convoluted and nonsensical, that even Keanu Reeves looked embarrassed at the silly dialog and behaviors he was scripted to do.
If we are in a simulation (we are not!), whoever made it up was one bored (and boring) entity.

[J Rorick]

Some Hurricane Katrina survivors have a lower opinion of the Army Corps, but to me the more burning question is whether the vaccine hesitant will be more willing to risk getting an Army vaccine than a Big Pharma vaccine.

Those air guns will scare off a few people.

[gh]

allow me to remind people of what the aim of this thread is

[jeremyp]

Meanwhile, Florida had 31,758 new COVID-19 cases on Friday, breaking a record for the most cases in a single day since the start of the pandemic in the U.S. in March 2020, according to data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The previous single-day highest number of cases was in last August, during the height of the delta variant wave in Florida, when 27,802 cases were reported.

https://apnews.com/article/coronavirus-pandemic-health-travel-lifestyle-miami-d7b4f32f9e52b3842f34aad110c5b6a3

[Halfmiler2]

NJ hit a new peak on Christmas Eve with 16,626 confirmed cases, but only six deaths.

[Halfmiler2]

Weekly Update:
The Monday (12/20/21) afternoon numbers:

Cumulative Numbers:
Globally: 274.114 million cases & 5,345K deaths
The USA: 50.812 million cases & 806K deaths
NY State: 2.964 million cases & 47,613 deaths
NJ State: 1.170 million cases & 25,888 deaths
Bergen Co: 114,662 cases & 2,736 deaths

NJ & NY Details:
The RT for NJ fell to 1.21.
NJ has 1,902 & NY has 4,020 hospitalizations
NJ has 6.36 million full vaccines out of 9.2 million
NY has 14.985 million full vaccines out of 20.2 mill

7-Day Daily Averages:
Globally: 730K cases & 8.4K deaths
The USA: 134K cases & 1.3K deaths
NY State: 18,327 cases & 60 deaths
NJ State: 5,600 cases & 18.6 deaths
Bergen Co: 550 cases & 3 deaths

Weekly Update
The Monday (12/27/21) afternoon numbers:

Cumulative Numbers:
Globally: 278.791 million cases & 5,388K deaths
The USA: 52.107 million cases & 816.4K deaths
NY State: 3.184 million cases & 48K deaths
NJ State: 1.256 million cases & 26K deaths
Bergen Co: 123,238 cases & 2,746 deaths

Global numbers exclude China which has reported no deaths in over a year. NY, NJ, & Bergen numbers include confirmed only and exclude probables.

NJ & NY Detail:
The RT for NJ rose to 1.56.
NJ has 2,654 & NY has 4,534 hospitalizations
NJ has a recent 20.08% & NY 9.5% positivity %
NJ has 28,869 deaths including probables
NY has 60,751 deaths including probables
NJ has given 6.39 million full vaxes - 74%.
NJ has given 7.22 million first shots - 84%.
NJ has given 2.11 million boosters - 46%.

7-day daily averages:
Globally: 668K cases & 6.1K deaths
The USA: 185K cases & 1.5K deaths
NY State: 25,546 cases & 26.7 deaths
NJ State: 12,237 cases & 18.9 deaths
Bergen Co: 1,225 cases & 1.4 deaths

[Halfmiler2]

NJ had a new high with over 27K cases yesterday. But hospitalizations are still less than half the previous high.

[jeremyp]

COVID hospitalizations on the rise (again) as omicron infections skyrocket48k+) Florida's latest COVID-19 infection wave is now leading to rising hospitalizations throughout the state. More than 3,400 Floridians are now hospitalized with COVID-19 , according to the Florida Hospital Association. That's 657 more patients than the association's prior-day report — nearly a 24% increase.

https://mail.aol.com/webmail-std/en-us/suite

[1.609]

COVID hospitalizations on the rise (again) as omicron infections skyrocket48k+) Florida's latest COVID-19 infection wave is now leading to rising hospitalizations throughout the state. More than 3,400 Floridians are now hospitalized with COVID-19 , according to the Florida Hospital Association. That's 657 more patients than the association's prior-day report — nearly a 24% increase.

https://mail.aol.com/webmail-std/en-us/suite

But will they die from it? Omicron symptoms are far less severe, more like a bad cold. If it doesn't kill at anywhere near the rate of previous variants, will it turn out to be a blessing? - if herd immunity comes much sooner than we thought.

"Most infections are described as mild, with recoveries usually within three days, he said. The most common early symptom reported is a scratchy throat, followed by nasal congestion, a dry cough and myalgia, or aches, manifesting in lower back pain."

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world...n-coronavirus/

https://www.economist.com/science-an...rlier-variants

[bambam1729]

But will they die from it? Omicron symptoms are far less severe, more like a bad cold. If it doesn't kill at anywhere near the rate of previous variants, will it turn out to be a blessing? - if herd immunity comes much sooner than we thought.

"Most infections are described as mild, with recoveries usually within three days, he said. The most common early symptom reported is a scratchy throat, followed by nasal congestion, a dry cough and myalgia, or aches, manifesting in lower back pain."

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world...n-coronavirus/

https://www.economist.com/science-an...rlier-variants

And some recent articles have said Omicron may be a blessing because its displacing Delta as the dominant strain of the virus, which was far more lethal

[18.99s]

But will they die from it? Omicron symptoms are far less severe, more like a bad cold. If it doesn't kill at anywhere near the rate of previous variants, will it turn out to be a blessing? - if herd immunity comes much sooner than we thought.

We'll have to wait and see. Increased transmissibility can vastly outweigh decreased severity. Covid-19 is significantly less severe than the original SARS from 2002 which had a death rate of about 10%, but SARS ended up with around 8000 cases and 800 deaths worldwide, whereas Covid has notched up over 800,000 deaths in the US alone and still counting.

[El Toro]

We'll have to wait and see. Increased transmissibility can vastly outweigh decreased severity. Covid-19 is significantly less severe than the original SARS from 2002 which had a death rate of about 10%, but SARS ended up with around 8000 cases and 800 deaths worldwide, whereas Covid has notched up over 800,000 deaths in the US alone and still counting.

In the capital of Australia, cases have increased dramatically with the spread of the omicron strain and reduction of restrictions in the state which surrounds us. However, despite the surge in cases, hospitalisations have declined since the earlier delta peak and ICU admissions are currently zero with deaths also non-existent.

I will say that with an estimated 99% of 12+ vaccinated, we may be better placed than many other areas in the world. Also, our 5G reception is otherworldly and we've all discovered an urge to build Bill Gates cathedrals to better worship him!

[NotDutra5]

But will they die from it? Omicron symptoms are far less severe, more like a bad cold. If it doesn't kill at anywhere near the rate of previous variants, will it turn out to be a blessing? - if herd immunity comes much sooner than we thought.

"Most infections are described as mild, with recoveries usually within three days, he said. The most common early symptom reported is a scratchy throat, followed by nasal congestion, a dry cough and myalgia, or aches, manifesting in lower back pain."

I was more uncomfortable yesterday from allergies and soreness from the previous days workout.

[1.609]

Also, our 5G reception is otherworldly and we've all discovered an urge to build Bill Gates cathedrals to better worship him!

Something's off with something and Mr. Gates. 3rd shot and still get no results when tapping on debit machine with my fingertips.

[Halfmiler2]

The New Year’s (1/1/21) early afternoon numbers:

Cumulative Numbers:
Globally: 83.493 million cases & 1,816K deaths
The USA: 20.213 million cases & 349K deaths
NY State: 991K cases & 37,557 deaths
NJ State: 483K cases & 19,160 deaths
Bergen: 47,570 cases & 2,330 deaths

The above are as close to 2020 year-end numbers as you are going to get. Global numbers exclude China (87K cases, 4.6K deaths) as unreliable.

NJ & NY Detail:
NJ: 5,541 new cases, 119 new confirmed deaths
NY:16,497 new cases,166 new confirmed deaths
NJ has 3,625 & NY has 7,886 hospitalizations.
The Rt for NJ fell to 0.92.
The NJ spot positivity test rate was 11.14%.

Here are close to 2021 year-end numbers to compare to 2020. Both exclude China but include probable deaths for NY, NJ, and Bergen County. Note that we only had the pandemic for about 10 months in 2020.

The New Year’s (1/1/22) afternoon numbers:

Cumulative Numbers:
Globally: 286.440 million cases & 5,425K deaths
The USA: 54.686 million cases & 824.3K deaths
NY State: 3.555 million cases & 61,159 deaths
NJ State: 1.373 million cases & 29,053 deaths
Bergen Co.: 124,344 cases & 3,048 deaths

NJ & NY detail:
NJ had 28,572 & NY had 78,804 new cases
NJ had 16 & NY had 77 new deaths
NJ has 4,005 & NY has 7,373 hospitalizations
The RT for NJ rose to 1.92.
The NJ had 33.85% & NY had 16.2% positivity %.