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  • "History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes." - Mark Twain

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    • Daily COVID cases in the US are more than double the peak level reached in early 2021, but deaths are still far below the 2021 peak.

      https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

      Covid_cases_USA.png

      Covid_deaths_USA.png

      Comment


      • "Deltacron" discovered in Cyprus. When two different strains of a virus infect the same host, they can exchange genetic material to generate a new strain. This combo may have already developed independently in the US, given the high prevalence of both delta and omicron in December.

        https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/08/cypr...and-delta.html
        A researcher in Cyprus has discovered a strain of the coronavirus that combines the delta and omicron variant, Bloomberg News reported on Saturday.

        Leondios Kostrikis, professor of biological sciences at the University of Cyprus, called the strain “deltacron,” because of its omicron-like genetic signatures within the delta genomes, Bloomberg said.

        So far, Kostrikis and his team have found 25 cases of the virus, according to the report. It’s still too early to tell whether there are more cases of the strain or what impacts it could have.

        Comment


        • Can't we just find a Dracenstein variant and be done with humanity?

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Atticus View Post
            Can't we just find a Dracenstein variant and be done with humanity?
            Oh the AntiCron must be coming soon enough...

            Comment


            • A not unexpected chart from NYT showing how much smaller the problem really should be. Twitter hosted image:

              FIqtjEBX0AICRCy?format=jpg&name=large.jpg

              Source article:

              https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...hospitals.html
              Attached Files

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Halfmiler2 View Post

                Here are close to 2021 year-end numbers to compare to 2020. Both exclude China but include probable deaths for NY, NJ, and Bergen County. Note that we only had the pandemic for about 10 months in 2020.

                The New Year’s (1/1/22) afternoon numbers:

                Cumulative Numbers:
                Globally: 286.440 million cases & 5,425K deaths
                The USA: 54.686 million cases & 824.3K deaths
                NY State: 3.555 million cases & 61,159 deaths
                NJ State: 1.373 million cases & 29,053 deaths
                Bergen Co.: 124,344 cases & 3,048 deaths

                NJ & NY detail:
                NJ had 28,572 & NY had 78,804 new cases
                NJ had 16 & NY had 77 new deaths
                NJ has 4,005 & NY has 7,373 hospitalizations
                The RT for NJ rose to 1.92.
                The NJ had 33.85% & NY had 16.2% positivity %.
                Weekly Update
                The Monday (1/10/22) afternoon numbers:

                Cumulative Numbers:
                Globally: 303.066 million cases & 5,475K deaths
                The USA: 60.185 million cases & 836.6K deaths
                NY State: 4.191million cases & 49,620 deaths
                NJ State: 1.613 million cases & 26,625 deaths
                Bergen Co: 160,867 cases & 2,763 deaths

                Global numbers exclude China which has reported no deaths in almost 2 years. NY, NJ, & Bergen above numbers include confirmed only, not probables.

                NJ & NY Details:
                The RT for NJ fell from 1.92 to 1.55
                NJ positivity fell from 33.85% to 31.79%
                NY positivity rose from 16.92% to 21.3%
                NJ hospitalizations rose from 4,005 to 6,075
                NY hospitalizations rose from 7,373 to 12,022
                NJ had 21,691 new cases -13 days over 20K
                NJ has 29,494 & NY has 61,859 deaths including probables.

                7-day daily averages:
                Globally: 1,532 K cases & 4,864 deaths
                The USA: 718 K cases & 1,220 deaths
                NY State: 74,584 cases & 82 deaths
                NJ State: 27,914 cases & 45 deaths
                Bergen Co: 2,626 cases & 0 deaths

                Last edited by Halfmiler2; 01-11-2022, 01:28 AM.

                Comment


                • https://www.npr.org/sections/health-...s-for-patients
                  US covid hospitalizations hit a record high. This is probably a good answer to why not trying to mitigate omicron spread is a bad idea.

                  Comment


                  • https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/10/covi...-in-march.html

                    Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla on Monday said a vaccine that targets the omicron variant of Covid will be ready in March, and the company’s already begun manufacturing the doses.

                    Comment


                    • A scientist in an island country discovers that in dozens of COVID-19 patients, the Delta and Omicron viral variants have fused genetically to form a third variant, more powerful and deadly than any before.

                      If it seems like science fiction, that's because it probably is.

                      Reports over the weekend set the internet abuzz with news of a new variant known as "Deltacron," discovered in Cyprus by Leondios Kostrikis, PhD, of the University of Cyprus Laboratory of Biotechnology and Molecular Virology. Bloomberg first reported that Kostrikis, speaking on the Cypriot station Sigma TV, said the new strain combined elements of Delta and Omicron and could have come from patients with "coinfection" of both variants of SARS-CoV-2 at the same time

                      But other experts, responding on Twitter, said that this alleged mega-variant was likely just a result of lab contamination. Tom Peacock, PhD, of the Barclay Laboratory of Imperial College London, wrote that this kind of contamination isn't uncommon in labs. He tweeted that "very, very tiny volumes of liquid can cause this" kind of sequencing contamination, but "usually these fairly clearly contaminated sequences are not reported by major media outlets."

                      https://www.medpagetoday.com/special...igateMD_Active

                      Comment


                      • Research at Oregon State U finds that some of the chemicals in hemp prevent covid from entering human cells.

                        Van Breemen and collaborators, including scientists at Oregon Health & Science University, found that a pair of cannabinoid acids bind to the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein, blocking a critical step in the process the virus uses to infect people.

                        The compounds are cannabigerolic acid, or CBGA, and cannabidiolic acid, CBDA, and the spike protein is the same drug target used in COVID-19 vaccines and antibody therapy. A drug target is any molecule critical to the process a disease follows, meaning its disruption can thwart infection or disease progression.

                        https://ktvz.com/news/coronavirus/20...g-human-cells/

                        Comment


                        • I got asked about this the other day. Its incredibly premature to say anything about it clinically. The study is a lab study - they studied cannabis on cultured human lung cells in a petri dish, basically. So there is no clinical correlation about if it works at all. Secondly, this is a pre-print, meaning it has not been peer reviewed or especially not accepted by a reputable journal after peer review. One of the problems with the internet is that there are now all these pre-print sites where people can post what they are submitting to journals so they are the "first" to publish on a certain topic. Our group of the major orthopaedic journal editors has made a policy decision that we do not want authors to post pre-prints before publication because of the risk of biasing the peer review process.

                          It 's possible that this may work to decrease clinical symptoms in humans, but this is a long way from showing that it does.

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by bambam1729 View Post

                            It 's possible that this may work to decrease clinical symptoms in humans, but this is a long way from showing that it does.
                            There are multiple metabolic processes going on in the body that are absent in vitro.

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Halfmiler2 View Post

                              Weekly Update
                              The Monday (1/10/22) afternoon numbers:

                              Cumulative Numbers:
                              Globally: 303.066 million cases & 5,475K deaths
                              The USA: 60.185 million cases & 836.6K deaths
                              NY State: 4.191million cases & 49,620 deaths
                              NJ State: 1.613 million cases & 26,625 deaths
                              Bergen Co: 160,867 cases & 2,763 deaths

                              Global numbers exclude China which has reported no deaths in almost 2 years. NY, NJ, & Bergen above numbers include confirmed only, not probables.

                              NJ & NY Details:
                              The RT for NJ fell from 1.92 to 1.55
                              NJ positivity fell from 33.85% to 31.79%
                              NY positivity rose from 16.92% to 21.3%
                              NJ hospitalizations rose from 4,005 to 6,075
                              NY hospitalizations rose from 7,373 to 12,022
                              NJ had 21,691 new cases -13 days over 20K
                              NJ has 29,494 & NY has 61,859 deaths including probables.

                              7-day daily averages:
                              Globally: 1,532 K cases & 4,864 deaths
                              The USA: 718 K cases & 1,220 deaths
                              NY State: 74,584 cases & 82 deaths
                              NJ State: 27,914 cases & 45 deaths
                              Bergen Co: 2,626 cases & 0 deaths
                              Weekly Update:
                              The MLK Day (1/17/22) Afternoon Numbers:

                              Cumulative Numbers:
                              Globally: 319.934 million cases & 5,516K deaths
                              The USA: 65.815 million cases & 850.0K deaths
                              NY State: 4.570 million cases & 63.5K deaths
                              NJ State: 1.732 million cases & 27,252 deaths
                              Bergen Co: 175,114 cases & 2,864 deaths

                              NJ & NY Detail:
                              The Rt for NJ fell to 1.02 from the 1/1 peak of 1.92
                              NJ positivity rate fell to 24%. NY rate fell to 18.6%.
                              NJ hospitalizations fell to 5,307. NY rose to 12,207.
                              NJ has 6.5 million fully vaxed - 76%.
                              NJ has 7.5 million first shots - 87%.
                              NJ has 2.5 million boosters - 52%.
                              NY has 15.5 million vaxed - 79.6%.
                              NJ has 30,809 & NY has 62,891 deaths including probables.

                              7-Day Daily Averages:
                              Globally: 2.410 million cases & 5.9K deaths
                              The USA: 0.804 million cases & 1.9K deaths
                              NY State: 63,074 cases & 179 deaths
                              NJ State: 16,987 cases & 89.6 deaths
                              Bergen Co: 2,035 cases & 14.3 deaths


                              Comment


                              • A good sign on Wednesday: the Rt (Replacement) rate in NJ fell under 1.0 to 0.92. The recent peak was 1.92 on 1/1. A number under 1.0 means that current patients are likely to pass on the virus to less than one new patient which means the trend is contracting.

                                Hospitalizations and new cases are also off their recent peaks.

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