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  • The re-transmission rate in NJ fell to 0.97 yesterday - the first time in months that it is under 1.0. Which means the latest wave of COVID is officially contracting instead of expanding.

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    • Britain approves Moderna's new bivalent vaccine (tweaked for Omicron)


      https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-N...7051660576900/

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      • In the meantime in Florida we went from 5 deaths a day in May to 71 deaths per day in mid August. For 65+ it went from 4 deaths a day to 65. School started last week.

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        • The DeSantis method...

          COVID has infected more than 6.9 million residents statewide and killed at least 79,017 residents. That excludes more than 3,000 victims state auditors found by combing through records from 2020 where physicians classified someone's cause of death as COVID, but the state Health Department did not.

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          • Age-Adjusted COVID Deaths Ranking State COVID-19 Deaths per 100,000 Age-Adjusted COVID-19 Deaths per 100,000
            1 Mississippi 454 464
            2 Oklahoma 413 422
            3 Tennessee 394 398
            3 Texas 333 398
            5 Kentucky 387 391
            6 Nevada 368 390
            7 Alabama 388 381
            8 Indiana 361 368
            9 Arkansas 377 366
            10 Arizona 381 363
            11 New Mexico 375 362
            11 North Dakota 371 362
            13 Ohio 380 361
            14 Louisiana 345 359
            15 Georgia 312 355
            15 New Jersey 368 355
            15 New York 375 355
            18 South Carolina 361 352
            19 West Virginia 397 348
            20 District of Columbia 286 338
            21 South Dakota 353 334
            22 Missouri 342 327
            23 Pennsylvania 371 326
            24 Michigan 330 315
            25 Rhode Island 350 313
            26 Montana 339 310
            27 Kansas 308 302
            28 Idaho 281 297
            29 North Carolina 286 291
            30 Florida 338 284
            31 Iowa 311 283
            32 Delaware 309 282
            33 Connecticut 315 281
            34 Illinois 278 278
            35 Colorado 237 270
            36 Maryland 262 269
            37 California 247 264
            38 Wyoming 262 262
            39 Massachusetts 272 257
            39 Nebraska 261 257
            41 Wisconsin 259 247
            42 Virginia 236 246
            43 Alaska 179 234
            44 Minnesota 235 231
            45 Utah 165 220
            46 Washington 167 177
            47 Oregon 182 175
            48 New Hampshire 181 166
            49 Maine 184 154
            50 Puerto Rico 144 124
            51 Vermont 111 98
            52 Hawaii 108 97

            Why all the hate for Florida? Guess folks were better off under the heavy thumbs pressing down in Michigan...DC...New York...New Jersey...New Mexico...

            Why aren't we picking apart the brilliant approaches in those states? Heck, Florida and California aren't too different and it's like living in two different universes.

            You there, on the motorbike! Sell me one of your melons!

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            • Deaths per population always favor larger states or countries. No:1 in the World? Peru. Followed by a dozen East European countries. I don't hate Florida. I do hate DeSanctimonious. Florida now has more cases per day (17.8k this week), up 7% in last 2 weeks. than anyone, including the larger states. Cal: 13k. Texas: 11k, N.Y. 5.7k. Why on Earth relabel 3000 deaths unless you're engaging in False facts?

              Last edited by jeremyp; 08-20-2022, 09:03 PM.

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              • Originally posted by jeremyp View Post
                Deaths per population always favor larger states or countries. No:1 in the World? Peru. Followed by a dozen East European countries. I don't hate Florida. I do hate DeSanctimonious. Florida now has more cases per day (17.8k this week), up 7% in last 2 weeks. than anyone, including the larger states. Cal: 13k. Texas: 11k, N.Y. 5.7k. Why on Earth relabel 3000 deaths unless you're engaging in False facts?
                Jeremy, i live in a country where almost every older person is vaxxed and boosted and in my city of 1.5 million thr covid desth rate for elderly is very low. Question: is the high elderly death rate in Florida primarily in the unvaxxed/under boosted folks?

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                • Originally posted by DET59 View Post

                  Jeremy, i live in a country where almost every older person is vaxxed and boosted and in my city of 1.5 million thr covid desth rate for elderly is very low. Question: is the high elderly death rate in Florida primarily in the unvaxxed/under boosted folks?
                  Yes! I looked at all the counties and there was a distinct correlation between high death rates/per thousand and low vaccination rates.

                  Basically, with a few exceptions, all counties with 500+ Death/100Thou had average of 45% vaccinated. All those with under 400 Deaths/100Thou had a vaccination average of 67.5%. 4 counties had 700+ deaths100/thou and a vacc ave of 37.%%. The deaths of 60+ was 84% of all deaths. 65+ was 76%. Don't forget 3000 deaths were switched from covid to other. Oh and for what it's worth the high death rates per population were almost exclusively in
                  counties that voted Trump.

                  I also noted that in a month the deaths in low vaccination counties went up while the vaccination rate did not budge.

                  vac rate for 65+ is 89%.
                  Last edited by jeremyp; 08-21-2022, 10:15 PM.

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                  • https://finance.yahoo.com/news/uk-ec...l?guccounter=1

                    World-wide "Abilene Paradox" led to leaders not wanting to be the one who said, "Whoa, whoa, whoa...let's think this over."
                    You there, on the motorbike! Sell me one of your melons!

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by Halfmiler2 View Post
                      I missed giving the 7/1/22 monthly update when I was in the hospital but am back to give an 8/1/22 update. No daily averages until we have two months to work with. We are also going to start including the China numbers in the Global numbers. Although the numbers are probably inaccurate, at least something is being reported.

                      Monthly Update for the afternoon of 8/1/22:

                      Cumulative Totals:
                      Globally: 576.817 million cases & 6.399 million deaths
                      The USA: 91.309 million cases & 1.030 million deaths
                      NY State: 5.775 million cases &; 56,894 deaths
                      NJ State: 2.216 million cases & 31,174 deaths
                      Bergen Co.: 232,860 cases & 3,191 deaths

                      ( NY, NJ, and Bergen totals are confirmed numbers only and exclude probable numbers.)

                      NJ and NY Detail:

                      The Rt for NJ is 1.01 - almost neutral.
                      Recent positivity rates: 9.8% in NY & 12.24 % in NJ.
                      Hospitalizations are 2,629 in NY and 1,024 in NJ.
                      NY has vaccinated 16.2 million or 83.2%.
                      NJ has vaccinated 6.99 million (over 80%), given 7.88 first shots, and 4.15 million first boosters.
                      Deaths incl. probables: 73,730 (NY), 34,270 (NJ)
                      Monthly Update
                      The COVID afternoon numbers for 9/1/22:

                      Cumulative Numbers:
                      Globally: 600.466 million cases & 6.485 million deaths
                      The USA: 94.342 million cases & 1.044 million deaths
                      NY State: 5.921 million cases & 57,565 deaths
                      NJ State: 2.278 million cases &; 31,464 deaths
                      Bergen Co: 239,092 cases & 3,208 deaths

                      NJ & NY Detail:
                      The NJ RT rate is 0.91(under 1.0=contracting)
                      NJ has 1,005 & NY has 2,368 hospitalization.
                      NJ has 13% recent positivity rate.
                      including probables, NJ has 34,567 &; NY has 73,656 deaths.
                      NJ has 7 million and NY has 16.2 million vaxed

                      Daily Averages:
                      Globally: 0.763 million cases + 2.8K deaths
                      The USA: 98K cases + 450 deaths
                      NY State: 4.7K cases + 21.6 deaths
                      NJ State: 2K cases + 9.4 deaths
                      Bergen Co: 200 cases + 0.5 deaths
                      Last edited by Halfmiler2; 09-02-2022, 06:55 PM.

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                      • In last 2 weeks the U.S. leads the world in deaths per day: 540. 2d is Brazil with 145. 3d is U.K. with 135.
                        In the U.S. in the last 3 months Florida leads in deaths per day at 59. 2d is California at 37, and 3d is N.Y. with 22.
                        Last edited by jeremyp; 09-02-2022, 01:34 AM.

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                        • Data anomalies
                          • Feb. 3, 2022—The CDC added 22,000 new cases to Nebraska's case count.
                          • Nov. 18, 2021—Missouri changed their definition of "cases" from tracking individuals to tracking infections (regardless of whether an individual has been infected previously). They also redefined "probable" cases and deaths to align with CDC definitions.
                          • July 8, 2021—The CDC reported 262,000 probable cases in California, which the state has not reported.
                          • June 30, 2021—California removed 6,372 duplicate and reclassified cases from their count, resulting in a one-day negative case count.
                          • March 9, 2021—The spike is due to Missouri adding over 80,000 probable antigen cases to its case count.


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                          • Math and Reading down. Was predicted.

                            Minorities and poor hit hardest. Was predicted.

                            https://www.npr.org/2022/09/01/11205...cores-pandemic
                            You there, on the motorbike! Sell me one of your melons!

                            Comment


                            • For the third month in a row, Florida logged more COVID-19 deaths than anywhere else in America.

                              The state’s COVID death toll grew by 1,614 people in August, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data shows. As coronavirus omicron subvariants swept the state this summer, Florida fatalities topped the nation from June through August.

                              It’s also the third summer in a row Florida has been No. 1 for COVID deaths.

                              The disease has killed at least 80,027 Floridians since the start of the pandemic, excluding more than 3,000 victims whom state auditors found by combing through records from 2020 in which physicians classified someone's cause of death as COVID, but the state Health Department did not.

                              https://www.palmbeachpost.com/story/...ng/7904033001/

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                              • Originally posted by scottmitchell74 View Post
                                Math and Reading down. Was predicted.

                                Minorities and poor hit hardest. Was predicted.

                                https://www.npr.org/2022/09/01/11205...cores-pandemic
                                Incredible poorly written article regarding testing that mixes points and percentages and makes quotes seem like data driven conclusions. Not taken into consideration is how many tests were not given during covid, or given in less than ideal conditions, while students were online. Clearly schools, like work places, government, military and everything else (except vax and ppe manufacturing) suffered. I'm really surprised NPR published such a shoddy article.

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