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  • Originally posted by tandfman View Post

    How do you know what tomorrow's front page will look like? It's not on their website.
    Here it is: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/an...cid=spartanntp

    Comment


    • Israeli study found superspreaders big problem in that country,

      1-10% of infected individuals responsible for 80% of secondary infections
      https://twitter.com/SternLab/status/1264084563896254465

      Comment


      • Monitoring of sewage allows prediction of COVID-19 activity 5 days ahead, says Yale:

        https://twitter.com/SaadOmer3/status...58316104814593

        Comment


        • Korean study put to bed concerns that people are being reinfected. Post recovery positive PCR test is picking up viral particles that can't be cultured. Contact tracing shows they don't give infection to close contacts.

          https://twitter.com/tmprowell/status...47206432702465

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          • The Oxford University vaccine candidate, ChAdOx1, developed with Astra Zeneca is now only 50/50 chance of getting a result from their UK trial. The reason? Rapidly falling infections may not provide statistically significant numbers of outcomes:

            https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/...24-p54vvu.html

            I'm assuming that they are looking for a new trial country or countries as a backup. No doubt this will be a problem for other nations unless they can get volunteers to be infected, assuming ethical clearances etc.

            Comment


            • Meanwhile....

              THREAD: New hospitalizations nationwide have risen slightly over the last week after showing sustained declines for the two preceding weeks. This view below looks at the nation outside of the New York tristate region.

              https://mobile.twitter.com/ScottGott...29903711649792

              https://mobile.twitter.com/FaceTheNa...71188589854720

              Comment


              • Originally posted by bhall View Post

                Likely due to data lagging. In the last 5 or 6 days reported cases have started climbing again. The downward plateau we were on is now an upward slope.

                See https://dph.georgia.gov/covid-19-daily-status-report and https://www.ajc.com/news/coronavirus...BSVSNQDDAuZxH/.
                + 1 day

                Also of interest, May 18th is so far the date with the second highest number of confirmed cases since this all kicked off in Georgia. It is 19 cases behind April 20th. I'm pretty sure you don't want cases going up and to the right.

                Screenshot from 2020-05-24 15-53-00.png

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                • Georgia was one of the first states to reopen, and since then it’s had several “oops” moments as the data it releases has turned out to be wrong in various crude and obvious ways—all of which, by coincidence, make the state look better than it really is. I don’t really care too much about that, though, because I don’t trust much of anything these days other than death rates, which are hard to manipulate. (Not impossible, but hard.) So let’s take a look at that:
                  So far I don’t see much of anything happening. Daily deaths look to be on a modest downward trend for the past month, probably due to the lockdown that was in place until mid-April. Starting on May 12, however, it looks like death rates started to increase again, which is about what you’d expect if there’s a three-week lag between interventions ending and death rates starting to increase.
                  Still, it’s too early to tell what’s really happening. A month from now we’ll probably have a pretty good picture of how Georgia is doing.


                  https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/

                  Comment


                  • Meanwhile...

                    6 feet away isn’t enough. Covid-19 risk involves other dimensions, too.

                    Distance, time, activity, environment: 4 ways to think about Covid-19 risk as states reopen.

                    https://www.vox.com/platform/amp/sci...mpression=true

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                    • Another article singling out Georgia. Some drone screwed up sorting a bar chart. Everybody had a good laugh on Twitter. It was fixed the next day. Georgia conflated viral and antibody tests in their total test numbers. Pile it on. Ignore that the CDC, Texas, Virginia, and Vermont, have all acknowledged doing the same thing, and I would be surprised if others haven't done the same. And, yes, Georgia is probably opening too soon, but so are maybe 20 other states. This focus on one state obscures how inconsistencies in data collection and reporting are making it difficult to determine what policies are working and when to reopen states.
                      Sunlight is said to be the best of disinfectants

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Master403 View Post
                        Another article singling out Georgia. Some drone screwed up sorting a bar chart. Everybody had a good laugh on Twitter. It was fixed the next day. Georgia conflated viral and antibody tests in their total test numbers. Pile it on. Ignore that the CDC, Texas, Virginia, and Vermont, have all acknowledged doing the same thing, and I would be surprised if others haven't done the same. And, yes, Georgia is probably opening too soon, but so are maybe 20 other states. This focus on one state obscures how inconsistencies in data collection and reporting are making it difficult to determine what policies are working and when to reopen states.
                        To be clear, I focus on it because I live there and we're consistently making decisions that aren't based on the best science or data. We haven't had a good readout from the DPH yet on whether they are able to test, contract trace, and isolate at a high enough level for reopening to be safe.
                        Last edited by bhall; 05-24-2020, 09:28 PM.

                        Comment


                        • Meanwhile....

                          Boris Johnson wants to reopen Britain’s schools in a week. Parents, teachers and local officials are pushing back.

                          LONDON — Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s push to reopen schools in June, to get kids back in classrooms and free up their parents to jump-start Britain’s moribund economy, is running into surprisingly steep resistance.

                          Parents here are all jitters. Teachers fret it’s too soon. And the scientific advisers, charged with predicting what’s safe or not, are offering a muddle of conflicting models.

                          Johnson reaffirmed his plan that primary schools in England should open in a week at a news conference Sunday evening. It’s not going well.


                          https://www.washingtonpost.com/world...641_story.html



                          Comment


                          • Meanwhile....since Georgia was getting so much attention...

                            A deadly ‘checkerboard’: Covid-19’s new surge across rural America

                            https://www.washingtonpost.com/natio...s/?arc404=true

                            Comment


                            • Meanwhile, in the Ozarks…

                              Packed pool party at Missouri’s Lake of the Ozarks shows no one social distancing


                              https://www.nydailynews.com/coronavi...koQMccMiwAfMN8

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by gh View Post
                                Meanwhile, in the Ozarks…

                                Packed pool party at Missouri’s Lake of the Ozarks shows no one social distancing


                                https://www.nydailynews.com/coronavi...koQMccMiwAfMN8
                                I saw that ....if they had masks on a chlorinated pool would be a great place....However.....

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