the no-nonsense, nothing-but-the-facts-m'am C19 thread

[scottmitchell74]

https://youtu.be/PvVaKFB65lw

It's a covid fact that This actually happened!

[Halfmiler2]

Monthly Update
The COVID afternoon numbers for 9/1/22:

Cumulative Numbers:
Globally: 600.466 million cases & 6.485 million deaths
The USA: 94.342 million cases & 1.044 million deaths
NY State: 5.921 million cases & 57,565 deaths
NJ State: 2.278 million cases &; 31,464 deaths
Bergen Co: 239,092 cases & 3,208 deaths

NJ & NY Detail:
The NJ RT rate is 0.91(under 1.0=contracting)
NJ has 1,005 & NY has 2,368 hospitalization.
NJ has 13% recent positivity rate.
including probables, NJ has 34,567 &; NY has 73,656 deaths.
NJ has 7 million and NY has 16.2 million vaxed

Daily Averages:
Globally: 0.763 million cases + 2.8K deaths
The USA: 98K cases + 450 deaths
NY State: 4.7K cases + 21.6 deaths
NJ State: 2K cases + 9.4 deaths
Bergen Co: 200 cases + 0.5 deaths

Monthly Update:

Cumulative Numbers at 10/1/22 PM:
Global: 617.584 million cases & 6.545 million deaths
The USA: 96.395 million cases & 1.060 mill deaths
NY State: 6.109 million cases & 58,124 deaths
NJ State: 2.3 million cases & 31,630 deaths
Bergen County numbers unavailable.
(NY and NJ numbers are confirmed numbers only excluding probable numbers.)

NJ and NJ Detail:
NJ RT is 1.14 and been over 1.0 most of the month.
NJ has 910 & NY has 2,306 hospitalizations
NJ has 7.06 & NY has 16.314 million vaccinations
NJ has 10.37% & NY has 7.1% positivity rates.
NJ has 34,744 & NY has 74,242 deaths including probables.

[Halfmiler2]

In NJ, the Replacement Rate has edged over 1.0 again but daily deaths are generally in single digits and hospitalizations under 100,

[gh]

please recall that this thread has very tight parameters and is about COVID facts and nothing else

[lonewolf49]

This too shall pass.
The world/education was/is inconvenienced but not irreparably harmed by the covid pandemic. Past generations were educated in primitive, understaffed, limited curricula schools, interrupted by wars, health pandemics, natural disasters, seasonal harvests, and cultural customs. As always, given the same circumstances, some will survive and thrive with varying degrees of success, and some will falter and fail.

[scottmitchell74]

Time will tell, I suppose, but thinking that kids 5-17 being out of the classroom environment for years won't have a massive impact is hopeful, at best, and that's being kind. The "summer slide" is a real and known thing, how would being out for years not have a much more dramatic impact?

This is a largely white-collar 50+ board that may be somewhat removed from the age groups and demographics most affected by the overly long and unnecessary school shutdowns.

I'll be around here a decade from now to gladly eat crow when all the depression, suicide, education, social, financial and other destruction to the young(er) generations magically cleRs up. I truly want to be wrong.

[DET59]

I also think we will eventually find that the learning losses were recovered.

Almost everything written about covid and school is politically based and not research based. The USA system of educational is incredibly localized as was the response to covid, To make generalized statements about learning right now is silly and simply political. I live in Korea where the reaction by society and educators was very, very different and pretty uniform. There are many of the same concerns (and a whole lot more testing); the students I work with, primarily College freshman, are pretty much the same as the kids who've be coming to class since before covid. They've just lived as teenagers in a more interesting time which may be a life experience they benefit from in the long run. A very wise man once told me,

"School isn't as good as it used to be, and it never was."

[gm]

Incredible poorly written article regarding testing that mixes points and percentages and makes quotes seem like data driven conclusions. Not taken into consideration is how many tests were not given during covid, or given in less than ideal conditions, while students were online. Clearly schools, like work places, government, military and everything else (except vax and ppe manufacturing) suffered. I'm really surprised NPR published such a shoddy article.

I also think we will eventually find that the learning losses were recovered.

[DET59]

Math and Reading down. Was predicted.

Minorities and poor hit hardest. Was predicted.

https://www.npr.org/2022/09/01/11205...cores-pandemic

Incredible poorly written article regarding testing that mixes points and percentages and makes quotes seem like data driven conclusions. Not taken into consideration is how many tests were not given during covid, or given in less than ideal conditions, while students were online. Clearly schools, like work places, government, military and everything else (except vax and ppe manufacturing) suffered. I'm really surprised NPR published such a shoddy article.

[jeremyp]

For the third month in a row, Florida logged more COVID-19 deaths than anywhere else in America.

The state’s COVID death toll grew by 1,614 people in August, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data shows. As coronavirus omicron subvariants swept the state this summer, Florida fatalities topped the nation from June through August.

It’s also the third summer in a row Florida has been No. 1 for COVID deaths.

The disease has killed at least 80,027 Floridians since the start of the pandemic, excluding more than 3,000 victims whom state auditors found by combing through records from 2020 in which physicians classified someone's cause of death as COVID, but the state Health Department did not.

https://www.palmbeachpost.com/story/news/2022/09/02/florida-leads-nation-covid-deaths-though-cases-keep-declining/7904033001/

[scottmitchell74]

Math and Reading down. Was predicted.

Minorities and poor hit hardest. Was predicted.

https://www.npr.org/2022/09/01/1120510251/reading-math-test-scores-pandemic

[jeremyp]

Data anomalies

• Feb. 3, 2022—The CDC added 22,000 new cases to Nebraska's case count.
• Nov. 18, 2021—Missouri changed their definition of "cases" from tracking individuals to tracking infections (regardless of whether an individual has been infected previously). They also redefined "probable" cases and deaths to align with CDC definitions.
• July 8, 2021—The CDC reported 262,000 probable cases in California, which the state has not reported.
• June 30, 2021—California removed 6,372 duplicate and reclassified cases from their count, resulting in a one-day negative case count.
• March 9, 2021—The spike is due to Missouri adding over 80,000 probable antigen cases to its case count.

[jeremyp]

In last 2 weeks the U.S. leads the world in deaths per day: 540. 2d is Brazil with 145. 3d is U.K. with 135.
In the U.S. in the last 3 months Florida leads in deaths per day at 59. 2d is California at 37, and 3d is N.Y. with 22.

[Halfmiler2]

I missed giving the 7/1/22 monthly update when I was in the hospital but am back to give an 8/1/22 update. No daily averages until we have two months to work with. We are also going to start including the China numbers in the Global numbers. Although the numbers are probably inaccurate, at least something is being reported.

Monthly Update for the afternoon of 8/1/22:

Cumulative Totals:
Globally: 576.817 million cases & 6.399 million deaths
The USA: 91.309 million cases & 1.030 million deaths
NY State: 5.775 million cases &; 56,894 deaths
NJ State: 2.216 million cases & 31,174 deaths
Bergen Co.: 232,860 cases & 3,191 deaths

( NY, NJ, and Bergen totals are confirmed numbers only and exclude probable numbers.)

NJ and NY Detail:

The Rt for NJ is 1.01 - almost neutral.
Recent positivity rates: 9.8% in NY & 12.24 % in NJ.
Hospitalizations are 2,629 in NY and 1,024 in NJ.
NY has vaccinated 16.2 million or 83.2%.
NJ has vaccinated 6.99 million (over 80%), given 7.88 first shots, and 4.15 million first boosters.
Deaths incl. probables: 73,730 (NY), 34,270 (NJ)

Monthly Update
The COVID afternoon numbers for 9/1/22:

Cumulative Numbers:
Globally: 600.466 million cases & 6.485 million deaths
The USA: 94.342 million cases & 1.044 million deaths
NY State: 5.921 million cases & 57,565 deaths
NJ State: 2.278 million cases &; 31,464 deaths
Bergen Co: 239,092 cases & 3,208 deaths

NJ & NY Detail:
The NJ RT rate is 0.91(under 1.0=contracting)
NJ has 1,005 & NY has 2,368 hospitalization.
NJ has 13% recent positivity rate.
including probables, NJ has 34,567 &; NY has 73,656 deaths.
NJ has 7 million and NY has 16.2 million vaxed

Daily Averages:
Globally: 0.763 million cases + 2.8K deaths
The USA: 98K cases + 450 deaths
NY State: 4.7K cases + 21.6 deaths
NJ State: 2K cases + 9.4 deaths
Bergen Co: 200 cases + 0.5 deaths

[scottmitchell74]

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/uk-economy-shrank-most-since-100947329.html?guccounter=1

World-wide "Abilene Paradox" led to leaders not wanting to be the one who said, "Whoa, whoa, whoa...let's think this over."