2009 College Football Predictions

[Marlow]

After Bama's close call at Tenn, Florida's chances of running the table all the way to the BCS game have increased. I really want Colt vs. Timmy there so we can see these superstars duke it out.

[jazzcyclist]

After Bama's close call at Tenn, Florida's chances of running the table all the way to the BCS game have increased. I really want Colt vs. Timmy there so we can see these superstars duke it out.

Do you mean Colt vs Mr. Pick-6x2?

[BisonHurdler]

After Bama's close call at Tenn, Florida's chances of running the table all the way to the BCS game have increased. I really want Colt vs. Timmy there so we can see these superstars duke it out.

Do you mean Colt vs Mr. Pick-6x2?

Still better than Mr. Pick-6x3-in-the-4th-quarter:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Auburn%E2% ... valry#1994


Since I can't post youtube links, just go there and search "Auburn vs LSU 1994" and the first link will take you to one of the biggest 4th quarter meltdowns in college football history. 5 4th quarter INTs, including 3 for TDs.

[Avante]

If ever there was a season where those non BCS schools can hang with the big dawgs here it is. Florida, Alabama, Texas and USC are all very beatable. None of them are..wow...in 2009. Boise State vs any of them on a neutral field would be a very real game. Just ask Alabama and Oklahoma about playing the little guys in a bowl game.

[jazzcyclist]

After Bama's close call at Tenn, Florida's chances of running the table all the way to the BCS game have increased. I really want Colt vs. Timmy there so we can see these superstars duke it out.

Do you mean Colt vs Mr. Pick-6x2?

Still better than Mr. Pick-6x3-in-the-4th-quarter:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Auburn%E2% ... valry#1994


Since I can't post youtube links, just go there and search "Auburn vs LSU 1994" and the first link will take you to one of the biggest 4th quarter meltdowns in college football history. 5 4th quarter INTs, including 3 for TDs.

I remember that game vividly, and you'll get no disagreement from me on that collapse. However, I think it's a bit unfair to Mr. Pick-6x2 to compare him to Jamie Howard.

[Marlow]

Do you mean Colt vs Mr. Pick-6x2?

Did you see the game? Neither were his fault. He was blind-sided while throwing one, and the other one was a deflection. Timmy is human. His biggest fault is thinking that he can do anything, so he holds the ball too long or guns it into tight spots. I had to laugh at Urban's post-game interview where he blamed HIMSELF for Timmy's troubles. Has there ever been another coach who so blindly loved his QB (excl. actual father-son combos)??!! Only Timmy T could throw TWO Pick-6s and still be impervious to criticism!

[BisonHurdler]

Timmy is human.

Might want to release this secret to the news media. They haven't picked up on this part of the story yet.

[jazzcyclist]

If ever there was a season where those non BCS schools can hang with the big dawgs here it is. Florida, Alabama, Texas and USC are all very beatable. None of them are..wow...in 2009. Boise State vs any of them on a neutral field would be a very real game. Just ask Alabama and Oklahoma about playing the little guys in a bowl game.

First of all, USC has already proven that they are beatable, so including them on this list isn't exactly insightful. And as previously indicated, Florida needed illegal assistance from the referees to maintain their unbeaten record. I also wouldn't call Boise State's win over Oklahoma an upset since they did actually have a higher BCS ranking than Oklahoma at the time they played, so one can argue the form held up in that case. Hell, even Utah was only ranked two spots lower than Alabama last year prior to the Sugar Bowl. That's hardly what I would call a David-vs-Goliath match-up.

[BisonHurdler]

I remember that game vividly, and you'll get no disagreement from me on that collapse. However, I think it's a bit unfair to Mr. Pick-6x2 to compare him to Jamie Howard.

Really I was just trying to put things in perspective. That was the first game that came to mind. More of a "Tebow could've been much much worse off . . . " kind of thing.

[Avante]

If ever there was a season where those non BCS schools can hang with the big dawgs here it is. Florida, Alabama, Texas and USC are all very beatable. None of them are..wow...in 2009. Boise State vs any of them on a neutral field would be a very real game. Just ask Alabama and Oklahoma about playing the little guys in a bowl game.

First of all, USC has already proven that they are beatable, so including them on this list isn't exactly insightful. And as previously indicated, Florida needed illegal assistance from the referees to maintain their unbeaten record. I also wouldn't call Boise State's win over Oklahoma an upset since they did actually have a higher BCS ranking than Oklahoma at the time they played, so one can argue the form held up in that case. Hell, even Utah was only ranked two spots lower than Alabama last year prior to the Sugar Bowl. That's hardly what I would call a David-vs-Goliath match-up.

USC was on the road with a back up QB with no experience vs Washington. Anyone thinking that game is a good barometer....nope! If you recall Oklahoma was a 7 1/2 point favorite vs Boise State so yes it was an upset. Alabama was a 9 1/2 point favorite when Utah took them down. So the little guys were the underdogs. Just like they would be if they played this season.

College football is all about tradition and perception. The Big10 is always ranked higher than they should be, Notre Dame just has to win a couple games and the media goes bonkers over them. Teams like Cincinnati, Utah and Boise State have no Galloping Ghosts or win one for the Gipper, they get no respect because of it. Yes TCU has some history.

[jazzcyclist]

USC was on the road with a back up QB with no experience vs Washington. Anyone thinking that game is a good barometer....nope! If you recall Oklahoma was a 7 1/2 point favorite vs Boise State so yes it was an upset. Alabama was a 9 1/2 point favorite when Utah took them down. So the little guys were the underdogs. Just like they would be if they played this season.

Obviously the pollsters thought the Washington loss a good barometer of USC, otherwise they wouldn't have dropped them seven or nine spots depending on which poll you look at. As for the point spreads, that's just an indication of the bookies' opinions which means nothing. At the end of the season, the only thing that matters is what the BCS poll says, not what the bookies say. Personally, I never look at the point spreads, but I do study the BCS rankings.

College football is all about tradition and perception. The Big10 is always ranked higher than they should be, Notre Dame just has to win a couple games and the media goes bonkers over them. Teams like Cincinnati, Utah and Boise State have no Galloping Ghosts or win one for the Gipper, they get no respect because of it. Yes TCU has some history.

Finally we agree on something.

[BillVol]

SEC schools in general play weak non-league schedules. Tennessee has always played the toughest schedule. At least going back to the mid-60s.

[Marlow]

As for the point spreads, that's just an indication of the bookies' opinions which means nothing

I've never really understood Vegas lines. Does it have more to do with getting people to bet (hearts not minds) in ways that will maximize the house's take, or is it the consensus opinion of how the game will really play out by some very savvy, well-informed professional sports experts? Or both? Which has more sway?

[Avante]

USC was on the road with a back up QB with no experience vs Washington. Anyone thinking that game is a good barometer....nope! If you recall Oklahoma was a 7 1/2 point favorite vs Boise State so yes it was an upset. Alabama was a 9 1/2 point favorite when Utah took them down. So the little guys were the underdogs. Just like they would be if they played this season.

Obviously the pollsters thought the Washington loss a good barometer of USC, otherwise they wouldn't have dropped them seven or nine spots depending on which poll you look at. As for the point spreads, that's just an indication of the bookies' opinions which means nothing. At the end of the season, the only thing that matters is what the BCS poll says, not what the bookies say. Personally, I never look at the point spreads, but I do study the BCS rankings.

College football is all about tradition and perception. The Big10 is always ranked higher than they should be, Notre Dame just has to win a couple games and the media goes bonkers over them. Teams like Cincinnati, Utah and Boise State have no Galloping Ghosts or win one for the Gipper, they get no respect because of it. Yes TCU has some history.

Finally we agree on something.

When it comes to trying to determine a favorite and an underdog the point spread means everything and anyone really into football understands that. It's as much a part of the game as the football is. Hell I'm staring at...Betting Line..right now in the local paper. You can play pretend, I don't!

The BCS is ridiculous something else anyone into the college game understands. Boise state has played...

Oregon
Miami of Ohio
Fresno State
Bowling Green
UC Davis
Tulsa
Hawaii

USC has played....

San Jose State
Ohio State
Washington
Washington State
California
Notre Dame
Oregon State

Now you tell me which team has had the far tougher road to travel?

[Avante]

As for the point spreads, that's just an indication of the bookies' opinions which means nothing

I've never really understood Vegas lines. Does it have more to do with getting people to bet (hearts not minds) in ways that will maximize the house's take, or is it the consensus opinion of how the game will really play out by some very savvy, well-informed professional sports experts? Or both? Which has more sway?

The deal is to try and pick a number that will split the action. The house wants 50% on team A and 50% on team B. Then after the game the losers pay off the winners and the house pockets the vigorish/juice. Remember you play 110 to win a 100.