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2009 College Football Predictions

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  • jazzcyclist
    replied
    Lane Kiffin is headed to USC.

    http://sports.espn.go.com/los-angeles/n ... id=4820737

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  • jazzcyclist
    replied
    Gary Patterson is even more optimistic about next year's TCU team than he was about this year's, and said that he didn't expect this year's team to go 12-0 and make it to the BCS.
    Patterson said on the eve of the game that he was a little surprised TCU had gone 12-0 and reached a BCS bowl game for the first time this season.

    "I thought next year would be the best football team we had because lost seven starters off last year's defense that was No. 1 statistically in the nation," he said. "They kind of took it upon themselves as a whole group to kind of grow up."
    http://www.usatoday.com/sports/college/ ... folo_N.htm

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  • guru
    replied
    Originally posted by jazzcyclist
    Texas was put in an impossible situation when they were forced to go with a freshman quarterback in that situation and I'm surprised that they were able to keep it as close they did.

    If you take away that terrible shovel pass call that went for an INT TD at the end of the 1st half, Texas is leading by 4 with 3 minutes to go instead of down 3. With Texas not likely to be passing the ball on their own 7 with a lead(or consequently fumbling), it would have been interesting to see if Bama could have come back.

    All moot now of course.

    Leave a comment:


  • jazzcyclist
    replied
    Whenever I think about this year's championship game, I will always wonder what might have been had McCoy not gotten hurt. McCoy was as important to this year's Longhorn offense as Vince Young was four year ago, and no thinking person believes that the 2005 Texas team would have beaten USC without Young. Texas was put in an impossible situation when they were forced to go with a freshman quarterback in that situation and I'm surprised that they were able to keep it as close they did.

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  • Pego
    replied
    Originally posted by jazzcyclist
    Originally posted by Pego
    I find it amusing that Big Ten went 2-0 over favored ACC opponents, yet the conference has a lower "power ranking".
    These rankings are based solely on the regular season and conference championship games, so the Big Ten's bowl performances don't help them.
    I know that. It just suggests that those "power rankings" may leave something to be desired.

    Leave a comment:


  • jazzcyclist
    replied
    Originally posted by Pego
    I find it amusing that Big Ten went 2-0 over favored ACC opponents, yet the conference has a lower "power ranking".
    These rankings are based solely on the regular season and conference championship games, so the Big Ten's bowl performances don't help them.

    Leave a comment:


  • Pego
    replied
    I find it amusing that Big Ten went 2-0 over favored ACC opponents, yet the conference has a lower "power ranking".

    Leave a comment:


  • jazzcyclist
    replied
    FYI, the teams with the 25 toughest schedules in 2009 were, in order:
    • Mississippi State 0.868
      Alabama 0.842
      Georgia 0.807
      Virginia Tech 0.791
      Florida State 0.791
      Florida 0.79
      Oregon 0.778
      South Carolina 0.769
      Arizona 0.76
      Louisiana State 0.757
      Georgia Tech 0.756
      Baylor 0.756
      Miami (Florida) 0.755
      Oklahoma 0.751
      Arkansas 0.749
      Washington 0.748
      Texas 0.747
      Clemson 0.736
      Auburn 0.736
      Washington State 0.732
      Southern California 0.711
      Vanderbilt 0.711
      Virginia 0.707
      UCLA 0.705
      Connecticut 0.703


    And the teams with the 25 weakest schedules in 2009 were:
    • Temple 0.242
      Army 0.242
      Western Michigan 0.263
      Kent 0.276
      Middle Tennessee State 0.306
      Northern Illinois 0.317
      Ball State 0.336
      Texas-El Paso 0.345
      North Texas 0.359
      Louisiana-Lafayette 0.364
      Toledo 0.375
      Arkansas State 0.378
      Ohio 0.379
      Tulsa 0.384
      Louisiana-Monroe 0.386
      Southern Mississippi 0.402
      Florida Atlantic 0.402
      Buffalo 0.405
      Western Kentucky 0.409
      Central Michigan 0.41
      Southern Methodist 0.414
      Eastern Michigan 0.414
      Akron 0.432
      Hawaii 0.433
      New Mexico State 0.434

    http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cf2009.htm

    Also, here are the final conference power rankings in order, which I'm sure will please guru:
    • SEC 0.711
      Big East 0.656
      Big 12 0.641
      Pac 10 0.624
      ACC 0.616
      Big Ten 0.613
      MWC 0.532
      Independent 0.531
      WAC 0.502
      CUSA 0.465
      MAC 0.424
      Sun Belt 0.409

    Leave a comment:


  • Daisy
    replied
    Originally posted by jazzcyclist
    I just disagree with anyone who says that the outcome of the Miami-Wisconsin game was never in doubt.
    You're right. Everyone in Madison was pleasantly surprised.

    Leave a comment:


  • jazzcyclist
    replied
    Originally posted by 26mi235
    Again, "that could have easily gone either way" is a statement about how the breaks come out. As it turned out, Miami got about 80% of the breaks in the game, and if they had gotten 95% they would have won. Getting 95% of the breaks is NOT "could have EASILY gone the other way".
    My point is that Wisconsin never delivered the knockout punch despite dominating the game statistically. They let Miami stay in the game until the very end. With 1:22 to go, Miami had a first and ten at their 41-yard line and were only down by six points. Surely the folks in Madison weren't celebrating at that point. Yes, Miami got the breaks, but turnovers, onsides kicks and big kickoff returns are all part of the game. Hell, even Iowa let Georgia Tech hang around too long, despite totally outclassing the Yellowjackets.

    As to your larger point, I agree with you that Wisconsin, Iowa and Ohio State thoroughly dominated their bowl opponents and the Big Ten acquitted itself well during the bowl season. I just disagree with anyone who says that the outcome of the Miami-Wisconsin game was never in doubt.

    Leave a comment:


  • Pego
    replied
    The entire season we have heard "Big Ten is Overrated" chants. Bookies must have agreed, as only Penn St. (possibly Minnesota) were razor thin favorites. Well, four of them won, two (Northwestern and Minnesota) should have.

    Leave a comment:


  • 26mi235
    replied
    Originally posted by jazzcyclist
    Originally posted by 26mi235
    The top 4 ranked Big Ten teams all won against more highly rated opponents (all in the top 15), and in three of those they looked the much better team. NW (next ranked team) lost in OT with an injured kicker, MN lost by one point and even a diminished Michigan State (14 players suspended) was leading in the fourth quarter -- the league could have been 7 - 0.
    The Big Ten could have also gone 2-5 if Penn State and Wisconsin had lost games that could have easily gone either way. By the way, depending on which poll you're looking at, Penn State was actually ranked higher than LSU.
    Again, "that could have easily gone either way" is a statement about how the breaks come out. As it turned out, Miami got about 80% of the breaks in the game, and if they had gotten 95% they would have won. Getting 95% of the breaks is NOT "could have EASILY gone the other way".

    Leave a comment:


  • jazzcyclist
    replied
    Originally posted by 26mi235
    Wisconsin absolutely dominated that game. The final score was as close as it was because some big breaks went Miami's way. Flip some of them then it could have been a 31-7 rout. For 50+ minutes Miami did essentially nothing despite supposedly having a huge advantage in speed and the skill positions and playing a semi-home game.
    Wisconsin did not dominate that game where it mattered, which was on the scoreboard. That's why Miami was still in the game until the end. I'm sure you've followed football long enough to have seen many games in which a team dominates a game statistically only to come up on the short end of the scoreboard. Earlier this year, I watched Mississippi State and Washington dominate LSU statistically only to come up short when the points were counted.

    Leave a comment:


  • 26mi235
    replied
    Originally posted by jazzcyclist
    Originally posted by 26mi235
    The top 4 ranked Big Ten teams all won against more highly rated opponents (all in the top 15), and in three of those they looked the much better team. NW (next ranked team) lost in OT with an injured kicker, MN lost by one point and even a diminished Michigan State (14 players suspended) was leading in the fourth quarter -- the league could have been 7 - 0.
    The Big Ten could have also gone 2-5 if Penn State and Wisconsin had lost games that could have easily gone either way. By the way, depending on which poll you're looking at, Penn State was actually ranked higher than LSU.
    Wisconsin absolutely dominated that game. The final score was as close as it was because some big breaks went Miami's way. Flip some of them then it could have been a 31-7 rout. For 50+ minutes Miami did essentially nothing despite supposedly having a huge advantage in speed and the skill positions and playing a semi-home game.

    Leave a comment:


  • jazzcyclist
    replied
    Originally posted by Bruce Kritzler
    Originally posted by jazzcyclist
    They should start the season in the top five, and certainly Florida, which will be undergoing a massive overhaul in the off-season, won't want any parts of them.
    Not on Florida's schedule in 2010 are they?
    No they're not. By the way, Chris Petersen was on Jim Rome's show yesterday, and when asked if Boise State deserved a share of the title or any first place votes, he said "no". Though he conceded that the system wasn't perfect, he's content with the fact that Boise State has been to the BCS twice in the last four years and that they'll get their shot at the title next year. He said that he's absolutely opposed to a playoff unless the regular season was shortened, and that the college presidents will never agree to shorten the season because it will cost all 120 1-A schools too much money. He also said that he believes their Fiesta Bowl win over TCU gave them more legitimacy than their win over Oklahoma because this year's TCU team is better than the 2006 Oklahoma team. He also pointed out that despite the strides Boise State has made during the last decade, they're still at a severe handicap compared to the tradional powers because of the limited revenue potential of a stadium that only seats 33,500.

    Leave a comment:

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